DT · #93 · Indianapolis Colts · week 8 vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Tim Smith
ROLE in the rotation
CLASS 2025 · R6 P190
EXP 1 season
AGE under 25
DEPTH LDT2
75%PLAYLIKELY
As of week 8, Tim Smith was a DT for IND, age 24.1, 1 season of experience, drafted in round 6. In 2026 through week 7 he was listed at depth rank 3 on his club's depth chart; he had played 7 games on 14% of snaps; his line was 1.7 tackles a game, 0 sacks a game and 0 passes defended a game. No injury episode was on file.
The full read
In short
How our call moved in week 8
100500
43%43%49%49%49%70%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%
Wed 4:20 PM ETSun 11:02 AM ET
our call, P(plays)
43% COIN FLIP → 75% LIKELY
Every call we wrote for him in week 8, earliest first, as written.
In short
Tim Smith is in the rotation at left defensive tackle for IND — 37% of the snaps in his best week of 8. He has an ankle injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 75%, in a band that plays 30% of the time. We have said PLAY since 69 hours before kickoff, and we changed our mind on the way.
The reader concurs · grade B
The club's own Thursday injury report has Smith as a full participant with the ankle after being limited Wednesday (P1), which is an upgrade in trajectory, not a deterioration, and he is grouped with other players treated as trending toward availability rather than with the two the beat flags as 'very uncertain' (P1).
What the read cites
What was reported
Source
1
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · 2026-10-29
2
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · 2026-10-29
The reader's full reasoning
The rest of the reading
No passage carries a game-status designation of any kind for the Nov 1 game, so nothing written contradicts the PLAY call; the residual risk is roster-based (third-string) rather than injury-based, and the dossier's measured cell already prices that down to 75%. I concur with the call on the strength of P1 while noting the week's evidence stops Thursday.
15versions in week 8
10average, every player
54most for one player
How the call moved
LIKELY since Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET · 69 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 49% → 70%, Thu Oct 29 · 12:05 PM ET to Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET, with no club report in between.
Our call
Injury report
Our call · week 8
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
75% · LIKELY
likely to play — this band plays 30% of the time (24–37%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
No dated practice report for him in week 8
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.
Head start
Our call
Kickoff
The evidence behind his current call
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Tackles / game1.5 range 1.0–2.0
wk 1–8 · 4 games
Sacks / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0
wk 1–8 · 4 games
Passes defended / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0
wk 1–8 · 4 games
Snap share16.9% range 2–37
wk 1–8 · 8 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
19%wk 1
4%wk 2
19%wk 3
16%wk 4
23%wk 5
2%wk 6
15%wk 7
37%wk 8
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
1
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 8
ankle
1
—
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 1 episode · 1 week on a report
2026
ankle · 1w
Weeks 1–18
listed, and played
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
The rest of his team's report in week 8
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
Rigoberto Sanchez
P
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Pharaoh Brown
TE
UNK
team's word
Out
Kevin Givens
DT
UNK
team's word
Out
Charlie Heck
OT
UNK
team's word
Out
Akeem Davis-Gaither
LB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Sauce Gardner
CB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Andrew Ogletree
TE
DNP
team's word
Questionable
Alec Pierce
WR
UNK
team's word
—
Cam Taylor-Britt
CB
UNK
team's word
—
Micheal Clemons
DE
UNK
team's word
—
Matt Goncalves
G
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Anthony Gould
WR
FULL
team's word
Out
Tyler Warren
TE
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Justin Walley
CB
DNP
team's word
Out
Riley Leonard
QB
UNK
team's word
Out
CJ Allen
LB
FULL
ours
PLAY
96%
EXPECTED
Bryce Boettcher
LB
DNP
team's word
Questionable
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The evidence behind his earlier calls
The evidence behind the call made Wed Oct 28 · 4:20 PM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Wed Oct 28 · 5:02 PM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 2:10 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 7:02 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 12:05 PM ET
We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.
The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET
We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.
The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 2:10 AM ET
We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.
The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 7:05 AM ET
We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.
The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 12:05 PM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“Today's practice report is an estimation of player participation if practice were to have happened.”
Indianapolis Colts · Wed Oct 28
The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 5:02 PM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“Today's practice report is an estimation of player participation if practice were to have happened.”
Indianapolis Colts · Wed Oct 28
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“Today's practice report is an estimation of player participation if practice were to have happened.”
Indianapolis Colts · Wed Oct 28
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“The Colts on Thursday took the field to practice for the first time this week after conducting a walk through Wednesday.”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“The Colts on Thursday took the field to practice for the first time this week after conducting a walk through Wednesday.”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“The Colts on Thursday took the field to practice for the first time this week after conducting a walk through Wednesday.”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET
What was reported
Source
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants today after being limited by injury in yesterday's practice”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
“defensive tackle Tim Smith (ankle) were all full participants Thursday after being limited Wednesday”
Indianapolis Colts · Thu Oct 29
From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)
What was reported
Source
“Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) and Drew Ogletree (knee) were both limited at practice today. Both look very uncertain to be available this Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · Thu Oct 29
Role
Call history
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
Profile — as of week 8
Role
DT3 · 14% snaps
Season
2026 · 7 games through wk 7
Per game
1.7 tackles · 0 sacks · 0 passes defended
Injuries
none on file
Bio
age 24.1 · 1 season' experience · drafted round 6
Where the profile comes from
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
in the rotation at left defensive tackle — 37% of the snaps in his best week of 8
Listed on the depth chart
second at left defensive tackle
Snaps played
17% a week on average over 8 weeks, 37% at his highest, 10% on special teams
Build
6 ft 4 in · 306 lb
College
Alabama
Drafted
2025, round 6 pick 190, by IND
Age
under 25 at the season's start
Experience
1 season
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
PublicOur call became public when the week settled.
KickoffKickoff.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Wed Oct 28 · 4:20 PM ET
94 h
SIT
43%
COIN FLIP
after his team's announcement
Wed Oct 28 · 5:02 PM ET
93 h
SIT
43%
COIN FLIP
after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 2:10 AM ET
84 h
SIT
49%
COIN FLIP
after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 7:02 AM ET
79 h
SIT
49%
COIN FLIP
after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 12:05 PM ET
74 h
SIT
49%
COIN FLIP
after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET
69 h
PLAY
70%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 2:10 AM ET
60 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 7:05 AM ET
55 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 12:05 PM ET
50 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 5:02 PM ET
45 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET
31 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET
26 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET
21 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET
7 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET
2 h
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
15 calls in week 8, flipping between PLAY and SIT 1 time. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
What would change this read
What would change this read
Friday 30 Oct Colts practice participation report — was Smith a full participant again?
Final game-status designation for Smith (Out/Doubtful/Questionable/none) on the Nov 1 report vs Jacksonville
Whether Smith was on the active (dressed) list and took defensive snaps in the Oct 25 game at Minnesota — baseline for a third-string DT dressing
Status of the DTs ahead of him (Grover Stewart, DeForest Buckner) for Nov 1, which drives whether Smith is needed on the 48
We went and found out more
Rank 3 (listed third or deeper, or not listed), 5 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 5 of 5.