Week 5 · 2026 season

We say who plays, days before the team does

Every player on this week's injury report gets a call from us — and we write it down, timestamped, before his team has announced anything. Nothing here can be edited afterwards. See how the calls have scored.

This page shows the calls from about a day before kickoff; clients see them from Wednesday.

calls of our own

18 / 1

play / sit

37 h

ahead of kickoff, on average

ruled out by their team

Who the teams cannot easily replace

Every player here is listed first or second at his position on his team's own published depth chart, and there is something to say about his availability. The order is that rank, then what the team has said, then the share of snaps he has actually played — every input is a fact somebody else published, so the same week always produces the same list.

6Baker Mayfield

TB · Quarterback

likely to play — our reading98% of snaps over 3 weeks

TB's starting quarterback, and we read him as likely to play. He has taken 98% of the snaps across 3 weeks.

0DeMarvion Overshown

DAL · Left inside linebacker

a genuine coin flip — our reading74% of snaps over 1 week

DAL's starting left inside linebacker, and we read him as a genuine coin flip. He has taken 74% of the snaps across 1 week.

21Benjamin Morrison

TB · Right cornerback

likely to play — our reading56% of snaps over 3 weeks

TB's starting right cornerback, and we read him as likely to play. He has taken 56% of the snaps across 3 weeks.

4Chase McLaughlin

TB · Placekicker

likely to play — our reading0% of snaps over 4 weeks

TB's backup placekicker, and we read him as likely to play. He has taken 0% of the snaps across 4 weeks.

2Cobie Durant

DAL · Left cornerback

a genuine coin flip — our reading62% of snaps over 2 weeks

DAL's starting left cornerback, and we read him as a genuine coin flip. He has taken 62% of the snaps across 2 weeks.

8SirVocea Dennis

TB · Right inside linebacker

likely to play — our reading20% of snaps over 4 weeks

TB's rotational right inside linebacker, and we read him as likely to play. He has taken 20% of the snaps across 4 weeks.

11Alijah Clark

DAL · Strong safety

likely to play — our reading12% of snaps over 4 weeks

DAL's rotational strong safety, and we read him as likely to play. He has taken 12% of the snaps across 4 weeks.

67Drew Shelton

DAL · Left tackle

a genuine coin flip — our reading2% of snaps over 4 weeks

DAL's backup left tackle, and we read him as a genuine coin flip. He has taken 2% of the snaps across 4 weeks.

73Tyler Smith

DAL · Left guard

likely to play — our reading

DAL's left guard, and we read him as likely to play.

What we say

What we expect, before anyone has announced it — least certain first. Each call carries a band: a group of players we have scored the same way in the past, with the share of them who actually played. Only the two outer bands are decisive. How this works.

Our calls for week 5 — least certain first. **Lead** is how early we FIRST made the call shown, never recounted from now.
Player	Pos	Team	Opp	Injury	Call	Band	Lead
Cobie Durant	CB	DAL	TB	Hamstring	PLAY	COIN FLIP	37 h
Drew Shelton	T	DAL	TB	Hamstring	SIT	COIN FLIP	37 h
DeMarvion Overshown	LB	DAL	TB	Hamstring	PLAY	COIN FLIP	37 h
Benjamin Morrison	CB	TB	DAL	Quadricep	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
Baker Mayfield	QB	TB	DAL	Thumb	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
SirVocea Dennis	LB	TB	DAL	Ankle	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
Tyler Smith	G	DAL	TB	Thumb	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
Chase McLaughlin	K	TB	DAL	Groin	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
Alijah Clark	S	DAL	TB	Ankle	PLAY	LIKELY	37 h
Ko Kieft	TE	TB	DAL	Elbow	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
James Houston	LB	DAL	TB	Shoulder	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Antoine Winfield Jr.	S	TB	DAL	Rib	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Joey Porter Jr.	CB	DAL	TB	Ankle	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Tyler Goodson	RB	DAL	TB	Ankle	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Josiah Trotter	LB	TB	DAL	Knee	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	TB	Thigh	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Malik Hooker	S	DAL	TB	Forearm	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Anthony Nelson	LB	TB	DAL	Illness	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h
Rueben Bain Jr.	LB	TB	DAL	Groin	PLAY confident	EXPECTED	37 h

What a call is not

A PLAY call means we expect him on the field, not that he is healthy. Of the calls that are ours rather than a team's announcement, almost none are scratches, and that is a property of the problem rather than a gap: at this base rate almost nothing moves a case far enough to call a scratch with confidence. How this works.