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WR · #0 · Buffalo Bills · week 9 vs Minnesota Vikings · Mon Nov 9 · 8:15 PM ET

Keon Coleman

  • TYPE Deep threat
  • ROLE a starter
  • CLASS 2024 · R2 P33
  • EXP 2 seasons
  • AGE under 25
  • DEPTH WR3
95%PLAY EXPECTED

As of week 9, Keon Coleman was a WR for BUF, age 23.3, 2 seasons of experience, drafted in round 2. In 2026 through week 8 he was listed at depth rank 3 on his club's depth chart; he had played 7 games on 69% of snaps; his line was 41 receiving yards a game, 3.9 targets a game and a 14% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 31 games (postseason included) over 2 seasons. His injury history held 3 episodes (ankle 1, groin 1, wrist 1), 1 of them reaching OUT; the last was an ankle injury in 2026 week 6.

The full read

In short

How our call moved in week 9

  • our call, P(plays)

60% COIN FLIP → 95% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him in week 9, earliest first, as written.

In short

Keon Coleman is a starter at wide receiver for BUF — 85% of the snaps in his best week of 8. He has a shoulder injury. In week 9 he practised limited every day the report covers. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 95%, in a band that plays 94% of the time. We have said PLAY since 99 hours before kickoff.

The reader concurs · grade C

P2 places Coleman under a "Limited Practice" heading on Friday ("WR Keon Coleman"), which matches the card's LP final and is a practice-axis signal, not a game-status one. P1 shows him in the Week 9 practice group ("Keon Coleman (0)"), which confirms participation but not reps or availability for Monday.

What the read cites

What was reportedSource
1“Limited Practice”Buffalo Rumblings · 2026-11-06
2“WR Keon Coleman”Buffalo Rumblings · 2026-11-06
3“Keon Coleman (0)”Buffalo Bills · 2026-11-06
The reader's full reasoning

The rest of the reading

The card's last-game sit and shoulder episode are history or unresolved sit-risk signals, and nothing dated after Friday 2026-11-06 in the passages overtakes them, so the PLAY call is supported only weakly.

17versions in week 9
12average, every player
54most for one player

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Sat Nov 7 · 3:10 PM ET · 53 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 61% → 90%, Sat Nov 7 · 11:06 AM ET to Sat Nov 7 · 3:10 PM ET, with no club report in between.

Our call

Injury report

Our call · week 9

NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED

95% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 94% of the time (92–96%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

Practice in week 9

FriSatThu
LPdated Sat Nov 7LPdated Sat Nov 7LPdated Sat Nov 7

Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

  • Our call
  • Kickoff

The evidence behind his current call

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

  • Rec yds / game38 range 1.0–116

    wk 1–9 · 8 games

  • Targets / game4.1 range 1.0–7.0

    wk 1–9 · 8 games

  • Target share14.9% range 4–23

    wk 1–9 · 8 games

  • Snap share67.9% range 48–85

    wk 1–9 · 8 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

  1. 50%wk 1
  2. 74%wk 2
  3. 48%wk 3
  4. 78%wk 4
  5. 70%wk 5
  6. 85%wk 6
  7. 77%wk 8
  8. 61%wk 9

Missed while on the injury report

SeasonWeeks on the reportMissed while listed
202650

Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.

Medical history

WhenInjuryWeeks on a reportWorst status
2026 · wk 9shoulder1—
2026 · wk 3ankle4Questionable
2025 · wk 1groin2—
2024 · wk 10wrist5Out

Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.

Injury history by season · 4 episodes · 12 weeks on a report

  • ruled out
  • questionable
  • listed, and played

Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.

The rest of his team's report in week 9

PlayerPosPracticeWhose wordCallChance he playsBand
Dion DawkinsTDNPteam's wordQuestionable
DJ MooreWRLTDoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Bradley ChubbLBFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Ed OliverDEDNPoursPLAY74%LIKELY
Ty JohnsonRBFULLoursPLAY94%EXPECTED
Greg GainesDTLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Sam Franklin Jr.SFULLoursPLAY92%EXPECTED
Michael DannaLBUNKteam's wordOut
Spencer BrownTFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Josh PalmerWRDNPteam's wordOut
Dee AlfordCBFULLoursPLAY90%EXPECTED
James CookRBUNKoursPLAY71%LIKELY
Terrel BernardLBDNPoursPLAY93%EXPECTED
Khalil ShakirWRFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Alec AndersonGLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Tyrell ShaversWRFULLteam's wordQuestionable
Dalton KincaidTEFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Joe AndreessenLBFULLoursPLAY93%EXPECTED
Jordan HancockCBLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Deone WalkerDTFULLoursPLAY89%EXPECTED
T.J. SandersDEFULLoursPLAY98%EXPECTED
TJ ParkerLBFULLoursPLAY88%EXPECTED
Jalon KilgoreSAFUNKteam's wordOut
Zane DurantDTUNKteam's word—
Ar'maj Reed-AdamsGFULLoursPLAY77%LIKELY
Skyler BellWRUNKteam's wordOut

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.

The evidence behind his earlier calls

The evidence behind the call made Thu Nov 5 · 5:40 PM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Fri Nov 6 · 12:30 AM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Fri Nov 6 · 3:10 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Fri Nov 6 · 6:06 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Fri Nov 6 · 11:06 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Fri Nov 6 · 4:06 PM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sat Nov 7 · 1:10 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sat Nov 7 · 6:02 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sat Nov 7 · 11:06 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sat Nov 7 · 3:10 PM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sat Nov 7 · 4:06 PM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 8 · 6:06 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 8 · 11:02 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 8 · 4:02 PM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Mon Nov 9 · 6:02 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Mon Nov 9 · 11:02 AM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

The evidence behind the call made Mon Nov 9 · 4:06 PM ET

We read the news for this call. The quotes we found are not shown publicly.

Role

Call history

The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show

Profile — as of week 9

RoleWR3 · 69% snaps
Season2026 · 7 games through wk 8
Per game41 receiving yards · 3.9 targets · 14% target share
TypeDeep threat
Career2 seasons · 31 games before 2026
Injuries3 episodes · last: ankle, 2026 wk 6
Bioage 23.3 · 2 seasons' experience · drafted round 2

Where the profile comes from

Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.

nflverse injuries_2026.csv

About him

About himAs the record holds it
His rolea starter at wide receiver — 85% of the snaps in his best week of 8
Listed on the depth chartthird at wide receiver
Snaps played68% a week on average over 8 weeks, 85% at his highest, 1% on special teams
Build6 ft 3 in · 213 lb
CollegeFlorida State; Michigan State
Drafted2024, round 2 pick 33, by BUF
Ageunder 25 at the season's start
Experience2 seasons

When this call was made, and when the world knew

  1. WrittenWe first said PLAY.
  2. PublicOur call became public when the week settled.
  3. KickoffKickoff.

How our call moved, earliest first

WhenLeadCallChance he playsBandOn what
Thu Nov 5 · 5:40 PM ET99 hPLAY60%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Fri Nov 6 · 12:30 AM ET92 hPLAY60%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Fri Nov 6 · 3:10 AM ET89 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Fri Nov 6 · 6:06 AM ET86 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Fri Nov 6 · 11:06 AM ET81 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Fri Nov 6 · 4:06 PM ET76 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Sat Nov 7 · 1:10 AM ET67 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Sat Nov 7 · 6:02 AM ET62 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Sat Nov 7 · 11:06 AM ET57 hPLAY61%COIN FLIPafter his team's announcement
Sat Nov 7 · 3:10 PM ET53 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sat Nov 7 · 4:06 PM ET52 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Nov 8 · 6:06 AM ET38 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Nov 8 · 11:02 AM ET33 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Nov 8 · 4:02 PM ET28 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Nov 9 · 6:02 AM ET14 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Nov 9 · 11:02 AM ET9 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Nov 9 · 4:06 PM ET4 hPLAY95%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything

17 calls in week 9, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.

What would change this read

What would change this read
Buffalo's Saturday 2026-11-07 practice report for Keon Coleman (limited, full, or DNP)
Buffalo's Sunday 2026-11-08 practice report for Keon Coleman, the last practice before Monday
The official Monday 2026-11-09 game-day injury designation for Coleman (questionable, probable, or out)
A coach's or club statement on Coleman's shoulder, especially whether he took full reps in the Friday 2026-11-06 session

We went and found out more

Rank 3 (listed third or deeper, or not listed), 5 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 5 of 5.