TE · NO vs ATL · week 4
Treyton Welch is a backup at tight end for NO — 11% of the snaps in his best week of 2. He has a not injury related - personal matter injury. His team named him inactive in week 3. This week he did not practise. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 74%, in a band that plays 76% of the time. We have said SIT since 37 hours before kickoff, and we changed our mind on the way.
TE · NO
TE · NO vs ATL · Not injury related - personal matter
likely to play — this band plays 76% of the time (75–78%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
champion_predesig
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | P(plays) | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 11:00 | 37 h | SIT | 17% | UNLIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-04 16:00 | 32 h | SIT | 17% | UNLIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-04 21:00 | 27 h | SIT | 17% | UNLIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 11:00 | 13 h | SIT | 17% | UNLIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:00 | 8 h | SIT | 17% | UNLIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:18 | 8 h | PLAY | 74% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:45 | 8 h | PLAY | 74% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:51 | 7 h | PLAY | 74% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 21:01 | 3 h | PLAY | 74% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
9 calls this week, changing 1 time. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
The team's own practice report, day by day
| Day | Practice | Dated by the publisher |
|---|---|---|
| Sat | did not practise | 2026-10-03 |
Shape of the week: single reading. Only rows the publisher dated are here; a row we could not date is excluded until the nightly sweep stamps it. No measured play rate exists for most of these patterns, so the shape is a fact and not a forecast.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | DNP | 74.1% | PLAY | champion_predesig | — |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Godchaux | DT | FULL | 94.5% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Nathan Shepherd | DT | DNP | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Kaden Elliss | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Carl Granderson | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Noah Fant | TE | LTD | 69.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Anfernee Jennings | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Julian Blackmon | S | FULL | 98.5% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Pete Werner | LB | DNP | 50.4% | SIT | COIN FLIP |
| Martin Emerson | CB | FULL | 84.8% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Jayden Price | CB | LTD | 76.5% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Barion Brown | WR | FULL | 82.4% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Christen Miller | DT | FULL | 67.8% | PLAY | LIKELY |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
his depth-chart position, snap history and previous injuries (research substrate, not the product database); the reader's opinion — it has not read him this week.