WR · #11 · Washington Commanders · week 8 vs Philadelphia Eagles · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET
Luke McCaffrey
TYPE Deep threat
ROLE a special-teams player
CLASS 2024 · R3 P100
EXP 2 seasons
AGE 25-28
DEPTH PR2
93%PLAYEXPECTED
As of week 8, Luke McCaffrey was a WR for WAS, age 25.4, 2 seasons of experience, drafted in round 3. In 2026 through week 7 he had played 3 games on 4% of snaps; his line was 0 receiving yards a game, 0.3 targets a game and a 1% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 29 games (postseason included) over 2 seasons. His injury history held 1 episode (shoulder 1); the last was a shoulder injury in 2024 week 16.
The full read
In short
How our call moved in week 8
100500
93%93%93%93%93%93%93%
Sat 2:10 AM ETSun 4:02 PM ET
our call, P(plays)
93% EXPECTED → 93% EXPECTED
Every call we wrote for him in week 8, earliest first, as written.
In short
Luke McCaffrey is a special-teams player at punt returner for WAS — 48% of the kicking snaps over 4 weeks. He has a hip injury. His team named him inactive in weeks 1 and 2 and 4. In week 8 he practised limited. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 93%, in a band that plays 94% of the time. We have said PLAY since 43 hours before kickoff.
7versions in week 8
10average, every player
54most for one player
How the call moved
EXPECTED since Sat Oct 31 · 2:10 AM ET · 43 h before kickoff.
Our call
Injury report
Our call · week 8
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
93% · EXPECTED
we expect him to play — this band plays 94% of the time (92–96%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
Practice in week 8
Fri
LPdated Fri Oct 30
Shape of the week: single reading. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.
Head start
Our call
Kickoff
The evidence behind his current call
We have not read the news for this player this week.
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Rec yds / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0
wk 3–8 · 4 games · below most of his peers
Targets / game0.3 range 0.0–1.0
wk 3–8 · 4 games · below most of his peers
Target share0.7% range 0–3
wk 3–8 · 4 games · below most of his peers
Snap share4.3% range 0–12
wk 3–8 · 4 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
0%wk 3
0%wk 5
12%wk 6
5%wk 8
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
1
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 8
hip
1
—
2024 · wk 16
shoulder
1
—
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 2 episodes · 2 weeks on a report
2024
shoulder · 1w
2026
hip · 1w
Weeks 1–18
listed, and played
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
The rest of his team's report in week 8
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
Stefon Diggs
WR
FULL
ours
PLAY
98%
EXPECTED
Marcus Mariota
QB
FULL
ours
COIN FLIPleans sit
49%
COIN FLIP
Fabian Moreau
CB
FULL
team's word
Out
Deatrich Wise
DE
LTD
ours
PLAY
92%
EXPECTED
Daron Payne
DT
LTD
team's word
Out
Isaac Yiadom
CB
UNK
team's word
Out
Nick Allegretti
G
FULL
ours
PLAY
69%
LIKELY
Charles Omenihu
DE
LTD
ours
PLAY
98%
EXPECTED
Terry McLaurin
WR
UNK
team's word
—
Javon Kinlaw
DT
DNP
team's word
Out
John Bates
TE
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Treylon Burks
WR
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Colson Yankoff
TE
FULL
ours
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
Jer'Zhan Newton
DT
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Jayden Daniels
QB
FULL
ours
PLAY
90%
EXPECTED
Athan Kaliakmanis
QB
UNK
team's word
Out
Tanoa Togiai
G
UNK
team's word
Out
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The evidence behind his earlier calls
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 2:10 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 4:02 PM ET
We have not read the news for this player this week.
Role
Call history
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
Profile — as of week 8
Role
WR5 · 4% snaps
Season
2026 · 3 games through wk 7
Per game
0 receiving yards · 0.3 targets · 1% target share
Type
Deep threat
Career
2 seasons · 29 games before 2026
Injuries
1 episode · last: shoulder, 2024 wk 16
Bio
age 25.4 · 2 seasons' experience · drafted round 3
Where the profile comes from
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
a special-teams player at punt returner — 48% of the kicking snaps over 4 weeks
Listed on the depth chart
second at punt returner
Snaps played
4% a week on average over 4 weeks, 12% at his highest, 48% on special teams
Build
6 ft 2 in · 195 lb
College
Rice; Nebraska
Drafted
2024, round 3 pick 100, by WAS
Age
25-28 at the season's start
Experience
2 seasons
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
PublicOur call became public when the week settled.
KickoffKickoff.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Sat Oct 31 · 2:10 AM ET
43 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET
38 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET
33 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET
28 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET
14 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET
9 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 4:02 PM ET
4 h
PLAY
93%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
7 calls in week 8, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
Named inactive in week 1
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
Named inactive in week 2
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
Named inactive in week 4
The team's own list. We held it before kickoff, so it could have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
What this page does not show
the reader's opinion — it has not read him in week 8.