WR · #19 · Denver Broncos · week 8 vs Kansas City Chiefs · Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

Marvin Mims Jr.

TYPE Possession receiver
ROLE in the rotation
CLASS 2023 · R2 P63
EXP 3 seasons
AGE under 25
DEPTH PR1

99%PLAY EXPECTED

As of week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. was a WR for DEN, age 24.5, 3 seasons of experience, drafted in round 2. In 2026 through week 7 he had played 5 games on 23% of snaps; his line was 16.4 receiving yards a game, 2.2 targets a game and a 8.1% target share (Possession receiver by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 51 games (postseason included) over 3 seasons with 2 Pro Bowls, 1 first-team All-Pro and 1 second-team All-Pro. His injury history held 9 episodes (hamstring 2, ankle 1, arm 1), 2 of them reaching OUT, 1 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was a foot injury in 2026 week 4.

The full read

In short

How our call moved in week 8

100500

62%62%61%61%61%61%88%88%95%95%95%95%95%99%99%99%99%99%99%

Wed 6:20 PM ETSun 4:02 PM ET

our call, P(plays)

62% COIN FLIP → 99% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him in week 8, earliest first, as written.

In short

Marvin Mims Jr. is in the rotation at punt returner for DEN — 29% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has an ankle injury. His team named him inactive in weeks 2 and 3. In week 8 he practised limited, then practised in full. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 94% of the time. We have said PLAY since 95 hours before kickoff. We called him PLAY in week 3 and he did not play.

The reader concurs · grade C

Nothing in the passages contradicts the PLAY call: the only coach-sourced remark is Payton on Oct 26 saying he is trying to expand Mims' usage, including kickoff duties (P1), which is the opposite of ruling-out language, and a same-day Denver Post piece discusses him as an active offensive contributor coming off Sunday's win (P2). The lone passage from inside the practice week (P3, Oct 31) is a speculative roster/draft column noting only that Mims is a pending free agent and listing Pat Bryant — not Mims — as injured, so it neither confirms nor undercuts his game status. The dossier's own measured practice line (Wed limited, Thu/Fri full on an ankle, no designation) is the real basis for the call; the prose merely fails to challenge it, hence the C.

What the read cites

	What was reported	Source
1	“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties. “He's one of our explosive playmakers.”	Mile High Report · 2026-10-26
2	“Good things happen when Jonah Coleman and Marvin Mims Jr. are involved in the offense.”	Denver Post · 2026-10-26
3	“Pat Bryant has been injured, Marvin Mims Jr. is a free agent”	Mile High Report · 2026-10-31

19versions in week 8

10average, every player

54most for one player

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Thu Oct 29 · 6:30 PM ET · 71 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 61% → 88%, Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET to Thu Oct 29 · 6:30 PM ET, with no club report in between.

Our call

Injury report

Our call · week 8

NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED

99% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 94% of the time (92–96%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

Practice in week 8

Fri	Thu	Wed
FPdated Fri Oct 30	FPdated Fri Oct 30	LPdated Fri Oct 30

Shape of the week: improving. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

Our call Wed Oct 28 · 6:20 PM ET
Kickoff Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

The evidence behind his current call

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

Rec yds / game15 range 0.0–53
wk 1–8 · 6 games
Targets / game2.3 range 0.0–4.0
wk 1–8 · 6 games
Target share8.5% range 0–17
wk 1–8 · 6 games
Snap share24.3% range 18–29
wk 1–8 · 6 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

18%wk 1
27%wk 4
19%wk 5
27%wk 6
26%wk 7
29%wk 8

Missed while on the injury report

Season	Weeks on the report	Missed while listed
2026	5	2

Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.

Medical history

When	Injury	Weeks on a report	Worst status
2026 · wk 8	ankle	1	—
2026 · wk 1	foot	4	Out
2025 · wk 16	arm	1	—
2025 · wk 9	concussion	3	Out
2025 · wk 4	hip	2	Questionable
2025 · wk 1	thigh	1	—
2023 · wk 17	hamstring	2	Questionable
2023 · wk 14	chest	1	—
2023 · wk 13	hamstring	1	—
2023 · wk 11	ankle	1	—

Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.

Injury history by season · 10 episodes · 17 weeks on a report · same site more than once: ankle ×2

2023

hamstring · 2wchest · 1whamstring · 1wankle · 1w

2025

arm · 1wconcussion · 3whip · 2wthigh · 1w

2026

ankle · 1wfoot · 4w

Weeks 1–18

ruled out
questionable
listed, and played

Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.

The rest of his team's report in week 8

Player	Pos	Practice	Whose word	Call	Chance he plays	Band
Garett Bolles	T	LTD	team's word	Questionable
Zach Allen	DE	LTD	team's word	Questionable
Malcolm Roach	DT	FULL	ours	PLAY	97%	EXPECTED
Brandon Jones	S	LTD	team's word	Questionable
Talanoa Hufanga	S	DNP	team's word	Out
Jaylen Waddle	WR	LTD	team's word	Questionable
Pat Surtain II	CB	FULL	ours	PLAY	97%	EXPECTED
Sam Ehlinger	QB	UNK	team's word	Out
Jordan Jackson	DT	UNK	team's word	Out
Nick Gargiulo	G	UNK	team's word	Out
Frank Crum	OT	UNK	team's word	—
Caleb Lohner	TE	UNK	team's word	—
Karene Reid	LB	FULL	ours	PLAY	92%	EXPECTED
RJ Harvey	RB	DNP	team's word	Out
Dallen Bentley	TE	UNK	team's word	Out
Gavin Ortega	OT	UNK	team's word	Out
Kage Casey	OT	UNK	team's word	Out
Tyler Onyedim	DT	UNK	team's word	Out

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.

The evidence behind his earlier calls

The evidence behind the call made Wed Oct 28 · 6:20 PM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Wed Oct 28 · 10:30 PM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 2:10 AM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 7:02 AM ET

We have not read the news for this player this week.

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 12:05 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 6:30 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Thu Oct 29 · 11:10 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 2:10 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 7:05 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
““We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“He had a couple of nice kick returns and had 2 catches for 53 yards, including a 47-yard catch”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 12:05 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Fri Oct 30 · 5:02 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 12:50 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

From the same articles (these quotes do not name him)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

The evidence behind the call made Sun Nov 1 · 4:02 PM ET

What was reported	Source
“Wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) improved to a full participant”	Denver Broncos · Thu Oct 29
“LT Garett Bolles (hip) and WR Marvin Mims Jr. (ankle) were limited participants”	Denver Post · Wed Oct 28

Matched on part of his name only (a teammate or someone with the same surname can share it)

What was reported	Source
“We're trying to get him touches,” Payton said of adding Mims to kickoff duties.”	Mile High Report · Mon Oct 26

Role

Call history

The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show

Profile — as of week 8


Role	WR4 · 23% snaps
Season	2026 · 5 games through wk 7
Per game	16.4 receiving yards · 2.2 targets · 8.1% target share
Type	Possession receiver
Career	3 seasons · 51 games before 2026
Honors	2× Pro Bowl · 1× first-team All-Pro · 1× second-team All-Pro
Injuries	9 episodes · last: foot, 2026 wk 4
Bio	age 24.5 · 3 seasons' experience · drafted round 2

Where the profile comes from

Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.

nflverse injuries_2026.csv

About him

About him	As the record holds it
His role	in the rotation at punt returner — 29% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chart	first at punt returner
Snaps played	24% a week on average over 6 weeks, 29% at his highest, 25% on special teams
Build	5 ft 11 in · 182 lb
College	Oklahoma
Drafted	2023, round 2 pick 63, by DEN
Age	under 25 at the season's start
Experience	3 seasons

When this call was made, and when the world knew

Wed Oct 28 · 6:20 PM ETWrittenWe first said PLAY.
Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ETPublicOur call became public when the week settled.
Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ETKickoffKickoff.

How our call moved, earliest first

When	Lead	Call	Chance he plays	Band	On what
Wed Oct 28 · 6:20 PM ET	95 h	PLAY	62%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Wed Oct 28 · 10:30 PM ET	91 h	PLAY	62%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 2:10 AM ET	87 h	PLAY	61%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 7:02 AM ET	82 h	PLAY	61%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 12:05 PM ET	77 h	PLAY	61%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 5:05 PM ET	72 h	PLAY	61%	COIN FLIP	after his team's announcement
Thu Oct 29 · 6:30 PM ET	71 h	PLAY	88%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Thu Oct 29 · 11:10 PM ET	66 h	PLAY	88%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 2:10 AM ET	63 h	PLAY	95%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 7:05 AM ET	58 h	PLAY	95%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 12:05 PM ET	53 h	PLAY	95%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Fri Oct 30 · 5:02 PM ET	48 h	PLAY	95%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 12:50 AM ET	41 h	PLAY	95%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 7:05 AM ET	34 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 12:02 PM ET	29 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sat Oct 31 · 5:06 PM ET	24 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 6:06 AM ET	10 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 11:02 AM ET	5 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything
Sun Nov 1 · 4:02 PM ET	0 h	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED	before his team said anything

19 calls in week 8, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.

What would change this read

What would change this read
Broncos' official Friday Oct 30 practice report line for Mims (did he hold at full?)
Friday final injury report game-status designation for Mims for the Nov 1 game (none/questionable/doubtful/out)
Any Saturday Oct 31 Payton remark or beat-writer note on Mims' ankle or his expected snap/kick-return role
Sunday inactives list for the Nov 1 game

We went and found out more

Rank 3 (listed third or deeper, or not listed), 5 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 5 of 5.

Named inactive in week 2

The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.

Named inactive in week 2

The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.

Named inactive in week 3

The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.

Named inactive in week 3

The team's own list (foot). We held it before kickoff, so it could have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.

Named inactive in week 3

The team's own list (foot). We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.