In short
Tyler Smith is listed at left guard for DAL. He has a thumb injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 75%, in a band that plays 76% of the time. We have said PLAY since 37 hours before kickoff.
G · DAL vs TB · week 5
Tyler Smith is listed at left guard for DAL. He has a thumb injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 75%, in a band that plays 76% of the time. We have said PLAY since 37 hours before kickoff.
G · DAL · LG
G · DAL vs TB · Thumb
likely to play — this band plays 76% of the time (75–78%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
before his team said anything
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | P(plays) | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 11:01 | 37 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 16:01 | 32 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 21:01 | 27 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
3 calls this week, and it never changed. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practised.
The final pre-game club report has Smith upgraded to full participation and designated Questionable for this Thursday game (P1), which is the strongest practice signal available and sits above the LTD input the model used. The club itself opened his practice window and confirms he is past the four-game IR minimum and eligible to return (P6, P4), and front-office voice Stephen Jones hinted he may suit up Thursday (P5). The only residual risks are the Questionable tag itself and the unconfirmed IR-to-53 activation, neither of which contradicts a PLAY call at ~0.75. It would need to know: Confirmation that Dallas formally activated Smith from injured reserve to the 53-man roster before kickoff Thursday Oct 8; Any Brian Schottenheimer remark on whether Smith starts at left guard or is on a snap count / eased in on the short week; Thursday inactives list for TB at DAL
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LTD | 75.1% | PLAY | before his team said anything | — |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Hooker | S | FULL | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | FULL | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | FULL | 96.4% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| James Houston | LB | FULL | 89.6% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Cobie Durant | CB | DNP | 58.9% | PLAY | COIN FLIP |
| DeMarvion Overshown | LB | DNP | 64.6% | PLAY | COIN FLIP |
| Joey Porter Jr. | CB | FULL | 96.2% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Alijah Clark | S | FULL | 79.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Drew Shelton | T | DNP | 38.1% | SIT | COIN FLIP |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
his depth-chart position, snap history and previous injuries (research substrate, not the product database).