S · TB vs DAL · week 5
Antoine Winfield Jr. is a starter at free safety for TB — 100% of the snaps in his best week of 4. He has a rib injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 95%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 37 hours before kickoff.
SAF · TB · FS
S · TB vs DAL · Rib
we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
before his team said anything
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | P(plays) | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 11:01 | 37 h | PLAY | 95% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 16:01 | 32 h | PLAY | 95% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 21:01 | 27 h | PLAY | 95% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
3 calls this week, and it never changed. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practised.
Head coach Todd Bowles, the highest-authority source, said Monday that Winfield has a fractured rib that will keep him out 2-to-4 weeks (P2), a current injury suffered late in Sunday's loss to Green Bay, not a historical one (P1). P1 names this exact game: 'His absence will begin Thursday against Dallas' (P1), and the DNP on the initial injury report for this short week is consistent with that timeline (P1). A 2-to-4 week absence beginning with this game rules out a Thursday 08 Oct appearance, so the PLAY call is wrong.
Rank 1 (starter), 12 documents deep, because: llm_dissents. Fetched 12 of 12.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | DNP | 94.6% | PLAY | before his team said anything | — |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | QB | DNP | 71.6% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Anthony Nelson | LB | LTD | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Chase McLaughlin | K | DNP | 79.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Ko Kieft | TE | LTD | 87.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| SirVocea Dennis | LB | DNP | 74.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Benjamin Morrison | CB | DNP | 67.7% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | LB | FULL | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Josiah Trotter | LB | FULL | 97.2% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
his depth-chart position, snap history and previous injuries (research substrate, not the product database).