S · NO vs ATL · week 4
Julian Blackmon is a starter at free safety for NO — 100% of the snaps in his best week of 3. He has a calf injury. This week he practised limited, then practised in full, then practised in full. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 78 hours before kickoff.
SAF · NO · FS
S · NO vs ATL · Calf
we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
champion_predesig
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | P(plays) | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 18:15 | 78 h | PLAY | 68% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-02 21:00 | 75 h | PLAY | 68% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-03 11:00 | 61 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-03 16:00 | 56 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-03 21:00 | 51 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-04 11:00 | 37 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-04 16:00 | 32 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-04 21:00 | 27 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 11:00 | 13 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:00 | 8 h | PLAY | 75% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:18 | 8 h | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:45 | 8 h | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 16:51 | 7 h | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-05 21:01 | 3 h | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED | before his team said anything |
14 calls this week, and it never changed. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
The team's own practice report, day by day
| Day | Practice | Dated by the publisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fri | practised in full | 2026-10-03 |
| Sat | practised in full | 2026-10-03 |
| Thu | practised limited | 2026-10-03 |
Shape of the week: improving. Only rows the publisher dated are here; a row we could not date is excluded until the nightly sweep stamps it. No measured play rate exists for most of these patterns, so the shape is a fact and not a forecast.
Rank 1 (starter), 12 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 12 of 12.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FULL | 98.5% | PLAY | champion_predesig | — |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Godchaux | DT | FULL | 94.5% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Nathan Shepherd | DT | DNP | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Kaden Elliss | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Carl Granderson | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Noah Fant | TE | LTD | 69.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Anfernee Jennings | LB | DNP | 1.3% | SIT | NOT EXPECTED |
| Pete Werner | LB | DNP | 50.4% | SIT | COIN FLIP |
| Martin Emerson | CB | FULL | 84.8% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Treyton Welch | TE | DNP | 74.1% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Jayden Price | CB | LTD | 76.5% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Barion Brown | WR | FULL | 82.4% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Christen Miller | DT | FULL | 67.8% | PLAY | LIKELY |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
his depth-chart position, snap history and previous injuries (research substrate, not the product database); the reader's opinion — it has not read him this week.