K · TB vs DAL · week 5
Chase McLaughlin is a backup at placekicker for TB — 0% of the snaps in his best week of 4. He has a groin injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 79%, in a band that plays 76% of the time. We have said PLAY since 37 hours before kickoff.
K · TB · PK
K · TB vs DAL · Groin
likely to play — this band plays 76% of the time (75–78%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
before his team said anything
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | P(plays) | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 11:01 | 37 h | PLAY | 79% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 16:01 | 32 h | PLAY | 79% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| 2026-10-07 21:01 | 27 h | PLAY | 79% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
3 calls this week, and it never changed. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practised.
P2 is the only current-injury evidence and it is genuinely current: 'The Buccaneers added kicker Chase McLaughlin to their injury report on Tuesday. McLaughlin did not participate due to a right groin/hip injury' — but that DNP followed a walkthrough, which on a short week is a soft signal rather than a true missed practice. P2 also notes 'The Bucs don't have a practice squad kicker, so they will have to sign a kicker for Thursday night if McLaughlin can't play,' and no such signing is reported in any passage, which cuts toward him playing. P1 shows he was healthy and fully available as recently as Oct 3 ('He has kicked off the year as reliably as ever, making all nine of his field goal attempts'), so nothing here contradicts the PLAY call, though no designation has been filed and the evidence is thin. It would need to know: Buccaneers' Wednesday 07 Oct participation report line for McLaughlin (DNP / limited / full); Any official game-status designation (Out / Questionable / no designation) filed for the Thu 08 Oct game; Whether Tampa Bay held a kicker tryout or signed a kicker to the active roster/practice squad on Tue 06 or Wed 07 Oct; A Todd Bowles or special-teams coordinator quote specifically on McLaughlin's right groin/hip and whether he kicked in Wednesday's session; Thursday inactives list for the Oct 8 game
Rank 1 (starter), 12 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 12 of 12.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | DNP | 79.0% | PLAY | before his team said anything | — |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | P(plays) | Call | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | QB | DNP | 71.6% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Anthony Nelson | LB | LTD | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | DNP | 94.6% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Ko Kieft | TE | LTD | 87.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| SirVocea Dennis | LB | DNP | 74.0% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Benjamin Morrison | CB | DNP | 67.7% | PLAY | LIKELY |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | LB | FULL | 99.0% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
| Josiah Trotter | LB | FULL | 97.2% | PLAY | EXPECTED |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
his depth-chart position, snap history and previous injuries (research substrate, not the product database).