WR · Tennessee Titans · week 5 vs Houston Texans · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Carnell Tate
TYPE Alpha receiver
ROLE a starter
CLASS 2026 · R1 P4
EXP 0 seasons
AGE under 25
DEPTH WR1
79%PLAYLIKELY
As of week 5, Carnell Tate was a WR for TEN, age 21.6, a rookie, drafted in round 1. In 2026 through week 4 he was listed at depth rank 1 on his club's depth chart; he had played 4 games on 84% of snaps; his line was 67 receiving yards a game, 8 targets a game and a 29.6% target share (Alpha receiver by the published rule). No injury episode was on file.
The full read
How our call moved this week
100500
his club's word: Questionable99%99%99%79%79%79%79%79%
Fri 7:01 AM ETSun 12:01 PM ET
our call, P(plays)
club report (public)
99% EXPECTED → 79% LIKELY
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
In short
Carnell Tate is a starter at wide receiver for TEN — 88% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a back injury. This week he practised limited every day the report covers. His team has listed him Questionable. We say he plays — 79%, in a band that plays 75% of the time. We have said PLAY since 54 hours before kickoff.
The reader concurs · grade B
P1 is the team's own Oct. 9 injury report, correctly tied to this game (Titans host Houston Oct. 11), and states Tate '(back) remains questionable' after 'limited participation for the second straight day' — exactly matching the dossier's steady LTD/LTD shape and Questionable tag (P1). Nothing in P1 indicates a setback, a DNP, or a ruling-out, so the PLAY call stands. P2 is a Oct. 6 opinion-blog item about the previous game (the 0-4 loss to Baltimore) with no stated availability consequence, so it is history and does not contradict the call (P2). It would need to know: Saturday 10 Oct Titans injury report / final game-status designation for Tate (any downgrade from Questionable); Sunday 11 Oct Titans inactives list vs Houston; A Titans coach or club remark on whether Tate is expected to play through the back injury on Oct. 11; Substance of the Oct. 6 'hot water' item (P2) — whether any discipline, benching or healthy-scratch decision follows from it
What the read cites
What was reported
Source
1
“Tennessee Titans rookie wide receiver Carnell Tate (back) remains questionable for the Titans (0-4), when they host the Houston Texans on Oct. 11”
source not recorded
2
“Tate had limited participation for the second straight day”
source not recorded
3
“Carnell Tate is still looking for his first win in the NFL as the Tennessee Titans move to 0-4.”
source not recorded
8versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player
How the call moved
LIKELY since Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET · 30 h before kickoff · after the club said it (-5 h). Biggest move: 99% → 79%, Fri Oct 9 · 5:01 PM ET to Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET, after: given a designation (Questionable).
This week's call
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
79% · LIKELY
likely to play — this band plays 75% of the time (74–76%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
Practice this week
Fri
Thu
LPdated Sat Oct 10
LPdated Sat Oct 10
Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.
Head start
Our call
His club's word
Kickoff
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Rec yds / game57 range 6.0–145
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Targets / game7.3 range 5.0–12
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Target share26.7% range 14–43
wk 1–6 · 6 games · above most of his peers
Snap share80.8% range 74–88
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
88%wk 1
75%wk 2
88%wk 3
84%wk 4
76%wk 5
74%wk 6
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
1
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 5
back
1
Questionable
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 1 episode · 1 week on a report
2026
back · 1w
Weeks 1–18
questionable
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Wk 5PLAY 99% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
John Franklin-Myers
DE
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Tony Pollard
RB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Amani Hooker
S
DNP
team's word
Out
Jeffery Simmons
DT
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Joshua Williams
CB
FULL
ours
PLAY
58%
COIN FLIP
David Martin-Robinson
TE
DNP
ours
SIT
28%
UNLIKELY
Kevin Winston Jr.
S
LTD
ours
PLAY
86%
EXPECTED
Marcus Harris
CB
LTD
ours
PLAY
87%
EXPECTED
Gunnar Helm
TE
FULL
ours
PLAY
96%
EXPECTED
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
a starter at wide receiver — 88% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chart
first at wide receiver
Snaps played
81% a week on average over 6 weeks, 88% at his highest
Build
6 ft 2 in · 192 lb
College
Ohio State
Drafted
2026, round 1 pick 4, by TEN
Age
under 25 at the season's start
Experience
0 seasons
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
Team reportHis team listed him Questionable.
PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
KickoffKickoff.
We said it 19 h before his team did.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET
54 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 9 · 12:01 PM ET
49 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 9 · 5:01 PM ET
44 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET
30 h
PLAY
79%
LIKELY
after his team's announcement
Sat Oct 10 · 12:01 PM ET
25 h
PLAY
79%
LIKELY
after his team's announcement
Sat Oct 10 · 5:01 PM ET
20 h
PLAY
79%
LIKELY
after his team's announcement
Sun Oct 11 · 7:01 AM ET
6 h
PLAY
79%
LIKELY
after his team's announcement
Sun Oct 11 · 12:01 PM ET
1 h
PLAY
79%
LIKELY
after his team's announcement
8 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
We went and found out more
Rank 1 (listed first on his depth chart), 12 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 12 of 12.
His record this season
Wk
Practice
Chance he plays
Call
Source
Played
5
LTD
99%
PLAY
before his team said anything
yes
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.