CB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · week 6 vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
As of week 6, Ayden Garnes was a CB for TB, age 23.5, a rookie. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 2 on his club's depth chart; he had played 2 games on 1% of snaps. No injury episode was on file.
How our call moved this week
64% COIN FLIP → 73% LIKELY
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
Ayden Garnes is a backup at right cornerback for TB — 2% of the snaps in his best week of 3. He has an ankle injury. His team named him inactive in weeks 1 and 2 and 3. His team has listed him Questionable.
The single in-window passage has Garnes trending upward rather than down: he was among 'three players [who] return[ed] to practice, with CB Ayden Garnes and RB Sean Tucker practicing in a limited capacity today after not practicing yesterday' (P1), and the same report frames both teams as 'getting healthier as Sunday approaches' (P1). The club demonstrably used this report to rule out a player it did not expect to play — Mayfield 'won't play on Sunday against the Steelers' (P1) — yet attached no such statement to Garnes, which cuts against a SIT call. The only friction is that the dossier's practice field reads FULL while P1 documents a LIMITED Thursday session; that is a milder practice line than our input assumes, but it does not contradict the PLAY call, only the precise decimal. It would need to know: Buccaneers Friday (16 Oct) final injury report: Garnes' practice level and game designation (Out/Doubtful/Questionable/none) for Sunday 18 Oct vs Pittsburgh; Any Todd Bowles comment this week on Garnes' ankle or his expected role/snap count vs the Steelers; Saturday (17 Oct) roster moves or practice-squad elevations at cornerback that would signal a replacement being readied; Status of the rest of the Bucs CB room (e.g. Benjamin Morrison), which governs whether a backup corner is risked on a short-week ankle
What the read cites
| What was reported | Source | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “Tampa Bay had three players return to practice, with CB Ayden Garnes and RB Sean Tucker practicing in a limited capacity today after not practicing yesterday” | Steelers Depot · 2026-10-15 |
| 2 | “the team confirmed he won't play on Sunday against the Steelers” | Steelers Depot · 2026-10-15 |
| 3 | “Today's injury report for Bucs and Steelers has both teams getting healthier as Sunday approaches.” | Steelers Depot · 2026-10-15 |
LIKELY since Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET · 30 h before kickoff · after the club said it (-5 h). Biggest move: 82% → 59%, Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET to Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET, with no club report in between.
This is the TEAM'S OWN ANNOUNCEMENT, not a reading of ours. His team filed him on the injury report and we are restating it so the record is complete. There is nothing early about repeating an announcement — what we say ahead of one is on the week's page. Source: his team's published inactive list, on the day.
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.
Head start
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
wk 4–6 · 3 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
Missed while on the injury report
| Season | Weeks on the report | Missed while listed |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 |
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
| When | Injury | Weeks on a report | Worst status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · wk 6 | ankle | 1 | Questionable |
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 1 episode · 1 week on a report
Weeks 1–18
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | Whose word | Call | Chance he plays | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Shawn Robinson | DT | LTD | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| David Sills | WR | FULL | team's word | Out | ||
| Tristan Wirfs | T | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. | S | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Luke Haggard | G | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Sean Tucker | RB | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| SirVocea Dennis | LB | FULL | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Josh Hayes | DB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Jalen McMillan | WR | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Mohamed Kamara | LB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Benjamin Morrison | CB | LTD | team's word | Doubtful | ||
| DeMonte Capehart | DT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Billy Schrauth | G | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Josiah Trotter | LB | LTD | team's word | Questionable |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
Profile — as of week 6
| Role | CB2 · 1% snaps |
| Season | 2026 · 2 games through wk 5 |
| Injuries | none on file |
| Bio | age 23.5 · rookie |
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
About him
| About him | As the record holds it |
|---|---|
| His role | a backup at right cornerback — 2% of the snaps in his best week of 3 |
| Listed on the depth chart | second at right cornerback |
| Snaps played | 1% a week on average over 3 weeks, 2% at his highest, 15% on special teams |
| Build | 6 ft 0 in · 183 lb |
| College | Arizona; West Virginia |
| Drafted | undrafted |
| Age | under 25 at the season's start |
| Experience | 0 seasons |
When this call was made, and when the world knew
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | Chance he plays | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 15 · 7:01 AM ET | 78 h | PLAY | 64% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Thu Oct 15 · 12:01 PM ET | 73 h | PLAY | 64% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Thu Oct 15 · 5:01 PM ET | 68 h | PLAY | 64% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET | 54 h | PLAY | 81% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 12:01 PM ET | 49 h | PLAY | 81% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 3:49 PM ET | 45 h | PLAY | 81% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 5:02 PM ET | 44 h | PLAY | 82% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET | 44 h | PLAY | 82% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET | 41 h | PLAY | 59% | COIN FLIP | after his team's announcement |
| Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET | 30 h | PLAY | 73% | LIKELY | after his team's announcement |
| Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET | 25 h | PLAY | 73% | LIKELY | after his team's announcement |
| Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET | 20 h | PLAY | 73% | LIKELY | after his team's announcement |
| Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET | 6 h | PLAY | 73% | LIKELY | after his team's announcement |
| Sun Oct 18 · 11:40 AM ET | 1 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's published inactive list, on the day |
| Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET | 1 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's published inactive list, on the day |
13 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
Rank 2 (listed second on his depth chart), 8 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 1 of 1.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | Chance he plays | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | DNP | 64% | PLAY | before his team said anything | yes |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
The team's own list. We held it before kickoff, so it could have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.