TE · Miami Dolphins · week 5 vs New York Jets · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
As of week 5, Justin Joly was a TE for MIA, age 22.1, a rookie, drafted in round 5. In 2026 through week 4 he had played 1 game on 0% of snaps. No injury episode was on file.
How our call moved in week 5
37% COIN FLIP → 37% COIN FLIP
Every call we wrote for him in week 5, earliest first, as written.
Justin Joly is a backup at tight end for MIA — 0% of the snaps in his best week of 1. He has a not stated injury. His team named him inactive in weeks 1 and 2 and 4 and 5. In week 5 he did not practise every day the report covers. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 58%, in a band that plays 53% of the time. We have said PLAY since 173 hours before kickoff. We called him PLAY in week 7 and he did not play.
COIN FLIP since Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET · 54 h before kickoff · 19 h before the club.
Our call · week 5
58% · COIN FLIP
a genuine coin flip — this band plays 53% of the time (52–55%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
Practice in week 5
| Fri | Thu |
|---|---|
| DNPdated Sun Oct 11 | DNPdated Sun Oct 11 |
Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.
Head start
fewer than 2 games this season
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
Missed while on the injury report
| Season | Weeks on the report | Missed while listed |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 |
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
| When | Injury | Weeks on a report | Worst status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · wk 5 | concussion | 1 | Out |
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 1 episode · 1 week on a report
Weeks 1–18
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Season on him: 1 of 2 graded calls of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report in week 5
| Player | Pos | Practice | Whose word | Call | Chance he plays | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Jackson | T | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Tucker Addington | LS | LTD | ours | PLAY | 97% | EXPECTED |
| Reese Taylor | CB | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Rob Beal Jr. | DE | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Julius Brents | CB | FULL | ours | PLAY | 92% | EXPECTED |
| Storm Duck | CB | FULL | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Jaylen Wright | RB | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Jackson Woodard | LB | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Kenneth Grant | DT | FULL | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Dante Trader Jr. | S | FULL | ours | PLAY | 88% | EXPECTED |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Chris Bell | WR | FULL | ours | PLAY | 90% | EXPECTED |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
We have not read the news for this player this week.
Profile — as of week 5
| Role | TE4 · 0% snaps |
| Season | 2026 · 1 game through wk 4 |
| Injuries | none on file |
| Bio | age 22.1 · rookie · drafted round 5 |
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
About him
| About him | As the record holds it |
|---|---|
| His role | a backup at tight end — 0% of the snaps in his best week of 1 |
| Listed on the depth chart | number 4 at tight end |
| Snaps played | 0% a week on average over 1 week, 0% at his highest, 28% on special teams |
| Build | 6 ft 3 in · 241 lb |
| College | N.C. State; Connecticut |
| Drafted | 2026, round 5 pick 152, by DEN |
| Age | under 25 at the season's start |
| Experience | 0 seasons |
When this call was made, and when the world knew
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | Chance he plays | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET | 54 h | SIT | 37% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 9 · 12:01 PM ET | 49 h | SIT | 37% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Fri Oct 9 · 5:01 PM ET | 44 h | SIT | 37% | COIN FLIP | before his team said anything |
| Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET | 30 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's own word, restated |
| Sat Oct 10 · 12:01 PM ET | 25 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's own word, restated |
| Sat Oct 10 · 5:01 PM ET | 20 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's own word, restated |
| Sun Oct 11 · 7:01 AM ET | 6 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's own word, restated |
| Sun Oct 11 · 11:41 AM ET | 1 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's published inactive list, on the day |
| Sun Oct 11 · 12:01 PM ET | 1 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's own word, restated |
| Sun Oct 11 · 12:01 PM ET | 1 h | his team's word | — | — | his team's published inactive list, on the day |
3 calls in week 5, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | Chance he plays | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | DNP | 37% | SIT | before his team said anything | no |
| 7 | UNK | 58% | PLAY | after his team's announcement | no |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
The team's own list. We held it before kickoff, so it could have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
The team's own list. We held it before kickoff, so it could have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.
the reader's opinion — it has not read him in week 5.