G · San Francisco 49ers · week 6 vs Washington Commanders · Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET
As of week 6, Carver Willis was an OT for SF, age 24.4, a rookie, drafted in round 4. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 2 on his club's depth chart; he had played 5 games on 2% of snaps. No injury episode was on file.
How our call moved this week
80% LIKELY → 80% LIKELY
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
Carver Willis is a backup at right guard for SF — 12% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a toe injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 80%, in a band that plays 76% of the time. We have said PLAY since 66 hours before kickoff.
The only status document is the Thursday-cycle report, which places Willis among limited participants with a toe issue — "offensive guard Carver Willis (toe) were limited" (P1) — a mild contradiction of our FULL practice input and of the 95% starting cell. But P1 attaches no game designation to Willis and reserves its serious language for others, naming injured reserve only as a possibility for Samuel (P1), so nothing written points to him sitting. With no final report in hand, the written record leans toward PLAY but does not settle it, so I concur on the call while holding the grade at C. It would need to know: The 49ers' final injury report for Sun 18 Oct or game-day status for Mon 19 Oct — does Willis carry Questionable/Doubtful/Out?; Whether Willis's toe moved from limited to full participation on Fri 16 / Sat 17 / Sun 18 Oct; Any Shanahan remark naming Willis, his toe, or the interior OL rotation for this game; Whether a 49ers starting guard (e.g. Banks/Brendel) is out for Monday, which determines whether a backup guard dresses
What the read cites
| What was reported | Source | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | “offensive guard Carver Willis (toe) were limited” | Pro Football Talk · 2026-10-16 |
| 2 | “Shanahan said injured reserve is a possibility for Samuel.” | Pro Football Talk · 2026-10-16 |
LIKELY since Sat Oct 17 · 2:16 AM ET · 66 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 80% → 80%, Sun Oct 18 · 5:05 PM ET to Mon Oct 19 · 7:01 AM ET, with no club report in between.
This week's call
80% · LIKELY
likely to play — this band plays 76% of the time (75–78%), measured out of fold. We do not stand behind a call in this band, and say so rather than dress it up.
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.
Head start
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
Missed while on the injury report
| Season | Weeks on the report | Missed while listed |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 |
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
| When | Injury | Weeks on a report | Worst status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · wk 6 | toe | 1 | — |
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 1 episode · 1 week on a report
Weeks 1–18
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
| Player | Pos | Practice | Whose word | Call | Chance he plays | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Williams | T | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Kyle Juszczyk | FB | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Mike Evans | WR | DNP | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Siran Neal | S | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Christian Kirk | WR | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Nick Bosa | DE | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Brett Toth | G | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Austen Pleasants | OL | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Colton McKivitz | T | FULL | ours | PLAY | 98% | EXPECTED |
| Brandon Aiyuk | WR | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Darrick Forrest | SAF | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Naquan Jones | DT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Garret Wallow | LB | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Nate Hobbs | CB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Jake Tonges | TE | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Sam Okuayinonu | DT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Nick Zakelj | OT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Andrew Farmer II | LB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Isaac Guerendo | RB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Jacob Cowing | WR | FULL | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Ricky Pearsall | WR | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Nick Martin | LB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Upton Stout | CB | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| Marques Sigle | S | DNP | team's word | Out | ||
| Kurtis Rourke | QB | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Mykel Williams | DE | LTD | team's word | Questionable | ||
| C.J. West | DT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Alfred Collins | DT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Kaelon Black | RB | DNP | ours | PLAY | 77% | LIKELY |
| Enrique Cruz Jr. | OT | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| Mikail Kamara | DE | UNK | team's word | — | ||
| James Thompson Jr. | DT | FULL | ours | PLAY | 95% | EXPECTED |
| Romello Height | DE | LTD | ours | PLAY | 99% | EXPECTED |
| Gracen Halton | DT | LTD | team's word | Questionable |
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
Profile — as of week 6
| Role | OT2 · 2% snaps |
| Season | 2026 · 5 games through wk 5 |
| Injuries | none on file |
| Bio | age 24.4 · rookie · drafted round 4 |
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
About him
| About him | As the record holds it |
|---|---|
| His role | a backup at right guard — 12% of the snaps in his best week of 6 |
| Listed on the depth chart | second at right guard |
| Snaps played | 2% a week on average over 6 weeks, 12% at his highest, 20% on special teams |
| Build | 6 ft 5 in · 303 lb |
| College | Washington; Kansas State |
| Drafted | 2026, round 4 pick 127, by SF |
| Age | under 25 at the season's start |
| Experience | 0 seasons |
When this call was made, and when the world knew
How our call moved, earliest first
| When | Lead | Call | Chance he plays | Band | On what |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 · 2:16 AM ET | 66 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET | 61 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET | 56 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET | 51 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET | 37 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET | 32 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Sun Oct 18 · 5:05 PM ET | 27 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Mon Oct 19 · 7:01 AM ET | 13 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Mon Oct 19 · 12:02 PM ET | 8 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
| Mon Oct 19 · 5:01 PM ET | 3 h | PLAY | 80% | LIKELY | before his team said anything |
10 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
Rank 2 (listed second on his depth chart), 8 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 8 of 8.
His record this season
| Wk | Practice | Chance he plays | Call | Source | Played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FULL | 80% | PLAY | before his team said anything | yes |
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.