Mike Green

How our call moved this week

• our call, P(plays)

78% LIKELY → 85% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Mike Green is a starter at strong-side linebacker for BAL — 64% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a hamstring injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 85%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 54 hours before kickoff.

The reader concurs · grade C

The model's FULL-practice input is contradicted by the club report: Green was newly added with a hamstring and listed as a LIMITED participant (P3: 'Baltimore also added outside linebacker Mike Green (hamstring) to the day's report as limited'), and P1 independently confirms the mid-week addition ('added wide receiver Zay Flowers and outside linebacker Mike Green to their Week 6 injury report'). That is a genuine in-week downgrade relative to our inputs, so 0.851 is a touch rich, but a first-week limited designation with no DNP and no 'Out'/'Doubtful' tag in any passage does not overturn a PLAY call — especially for a rotational pass rusher the club is actively using (P5: 'Green had a sack, quarterback hit and two tackles for loss'; P4: 'the Ravens reserve Hendrickson and Mike Green for pass rushing snaps'). The decisive Friday report and designation are simply absent from the dossier, hence grade C. It would need to know: Friday 16 Oct Ravens practice participation line for Mike Green (full / limited / DNP) — whether he was upgraded from Thursday's limited; Friday 16 Oct final game-status designation for Green (Questionable / Doubtful / Out) for Sun 18 Oct vs Cleveland; Any Harbaugh, Zach Orr or Green remark on the hamstring's severity or his expected availability Sunday; Whether edge teammates Tavius Robinson and Trey Hendrickson are healthy/active this week, which governs how hard the club leans on a limited Green

What the read cites

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET · 30 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 78% → 85%, Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET to Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET, after: practiced more (Limited Participation in Practice → Full Participation in Practice).

This week's call

85% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

No dated practice report for him this week

The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.

Head start

• Our call Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET
• Kickoff Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Tackles / game2.0 range 1.0–3.0

  wk 2–6 · 5 games

• Sacks / game0.4 range 0.0–1.0

  wk 2–6 · 5 games

• Passes defended / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0

  wk 2–6 · 5 games

• Snap share44.7% range 30–64

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 31%wk 1
2. 47%wk 2
3. 30%wk 3
4. 64%wk 4
5. 58%wk 5
6. 38%wk 6

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.