CB · New York Jets · week 5 vs Cleveland Browns · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
ROLE a starter
CLASS 2024 · R5 P146
EXP 2 seasons
AGE 25-28
DEPTH NB1
99%PLAYEXPECTED
As of week 5, Jarvis Brownlee Jr. was a DB for NYJ, age 25.1, 2 seasons of experience, drafted in round 5. In 2026 through week 4 he was listed at depth rank 1 on his club's depth chart; he had played 4 games on 60% of snaps; his line was 2.3 tackles a game, 0 sacks a game and 0 passes defended a game. Before 2026 he played 26 games (postseason included) over 2 seasons. His injury history held 6 episodes (ankle 2, hip 2, chest 1), 2 of them reaching OUT, 2 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was a shoulder injury in 2026 week 2.
The full read
How our call moved this week
100500
72%72%72%94%94%94%99%99%99%99%99%
Thu 7:01 AM ETSun 12:01 PM ET
our call, P(plays)
72% LIKELY → 99% EXPECTED
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
In short
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. is a starter at nickelback for NYJ — 87% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a concussion injury. His snaps dropped last week. Of players in that position who did play the following week, 43% took under 70% of their usual snaps. This week he practised limited. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 78 hours before kickoff.
11versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player
How the call moved
EXPECTED since Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET · 54 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 72% → 94%, Thu Oct 8 · 5:01 PM ET to Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET, after: practiced more (Did Not Participate In Practice → Limited Participation in Practice).
This week's call
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
99% · EXPECTED
we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
Practice this week
Thu
LPdated Fri Oct 9
Shape of the week: single reading. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.
Head start
Our call
Kickoff
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Tackles / game2.8 range 1.0–6.0
wk 1–6 · 5 games
Sacks / game0.2 range 0.0–1.0
wk 1–6 · 5 games
Passes defended / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0
wk 1–6 · 5 games
Snap share63.2% range 41–87
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
76%wk 1
69%wk 2
52%wk 3
41%wk 4
87%wk 5
54%wk 6
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
2
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 5
concussion
1
—
2026 · wk 2
shoulder
1
—
2025 · wk 13
hip
2
Out
2025 · wk 3
ankle
3
Out
2024 · wk 14
hip
1
Questionable
2024 · wk 13
chest
1
—
2024 · wk 8
ankle
2
Questionable
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 7 episodes · 11 weeks on a report · same site more than once: hip ×2
2024
hip · 1wchest · 1wankle · 2w
2025
hip · 2wankle · 3w
2026
concussion · 1wshoulder · 1w
Weeks 1–18
ruled out
questionable
listed, and played
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Wk 5PLAY 72% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
Tim Patrick
WR
FULL
ours
PLAY
92%
EXPECTED
Kingsley Enagbare
DE
FULL
ours
PLAY
92%
EXPECTED
Dylan Parham
G
DNP
team's word
Out
Breece Hall
RB
DNP
team's word
Out
Will McDonald IV
DE
LTD
ours
PLAY
75%
LIKELY
Adonai Mitchell
WR
DNP
team's word
Out
Francisco Mauigoa
LB
DNP
team's word
Out
Mason Taylor
TE
FULL
ours
PLAY
95%
EXPECTED
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
Profile — as of week 5
Role
DB1 · 60% snaps
Season
2026 · 4 games through wk 4
Per game
2.3 tackles · 0 sacks · 0 passes defended
Career
2 seasons · 26 games before 2026
Injuries
6 episodes · last: shoulder, 2026 wk 2
Bio
age 25.1 · 2 seasons' experience · drafted round 5
Where the profile comes from
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
a starter at nickelback — 87% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chart
first at nickelback
Last week
His snaps dropped last week, below his usual share
Snaps played
63% a week on average over 6 weeks, 87% at his highest, 1% on special teams
Build
5 ft 10 in · 194 lb
College
Louisville; Florida
Drafted
2024, round 5 pick 146, by TEN
Age
25-28 at the season's start
Experience
2 seasons
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
KickoffKickoff.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Thu Oct 8 · 7:01 AM ET
78 h
PLAY
72%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Thu Oct 8 · 12:01 PM ET
73 h
PLAY
72%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Thu Oct 8 · 5:01 PM ET
68 h
PLAY
72%
LIKELY
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 9 · 7:01 AM ET
54 h
PLAY
94%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 9 · 12:01 PM ET
49 h
PLAY
94%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 9 · 5:01 PM ET
44 h
PLAY
94%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET
30 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 10 · 12:01 PM ET
25 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 10 · 5:01 PM ET
20 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 11 · 7:01 AM ET
6 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 11 · 12:01 PM ET
1 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
11 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
We went and found out more
Rank 1 (listed first on his depth chart), 12 documents deep, because: llm_unsure. Fetched 12 of 12.
His record this season
Wk
Practice
Chance he plays
Call
Source
Played
5
DNP
72%
PLAY
before his team said anything
yes
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.
What this page does not show
the reader's opinion — it has not read him this week.