Jacob Cowing

How our call moved this week

• our call, P(plays)

93% EXPECTED → 99% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Jacob Cowing is in the rotation at punt returner for SF — 46% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has an ankle injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 85 hours before kickoff.

The reader concurs · grade D

The sole passage is a 49ers photo-gallery credit sequence in which Cowing appears only as a numbered caption, 'WR Jacob Cowing / Bryce Fairchild/49ers / 35 / 37' (P1); it names no ankle, no practice day, no designation and no inactive list. The remainder of the passage is a fan photo gallery from a Week 5 game against Seattle (P1), which is history and says nothing about Monday 19 October. With the written record silent, nothing contradicts the model's PLAY call, so I concur while grading the evidence D. It would need to know: 49ers official practice participation report for Tue 13 / Wed 14 / Thu 15 / Fri 16 / Sat 17 / Sun 18 Oct naming Cowing and the ankle (DNP/LP/FP); Final game-status designation (Out/Doubtful/Questionable/none) filed for the Mon 19 Oct game; A Kyle Shanahan press-conference remark or 49ers PR note naming Cowing and his ankle this week; Whether Cowing was on the inactive list for the 49ers' previous game (health signal only); Whether Cowing's role changed with the status of WRs ahead of him (e.g. Deebo Samuel Sr., Jordan Watkins) for this game

What the read cites

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET · 85 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 95% → 99%, Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET to Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET, with no club report in between.

This week's call

99% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

No dated practice report for him this week

The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.

Head start

• Our call Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET
• Kickoff Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Rec yds / game1.5 range 0.0–9.0

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

• Targets / game0.8 range 0.0–2.0

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

• Target share3.0% range 0–8

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

• Snap share30.7% range 8–46

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 8%wk 1
2. 46%wk 2
3. 31%wk 3
4. 32%wk 4
5. 43%wk 5
6. 24%wk 6

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.