WR · Indianapolis Colts · week 6 vs Tennessee Titans · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Josh Downs
TYPE Possession receiver
ROLE a starter
CLASS 2023 · R3 P79
EXP 3 seasons
AGE 25-28
DEPTH WR1
99%PLAYEXPECTED
As of week 6, Josh Downs was a WR for IND, age 25.1, 3 seasons of experience, drafted in round 3. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 1 on his club's depth chart; he had played 5 games on 80% of snaps; his line was 49.8 receiving yards a game, 6.8 targets a game and a 20.5% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 47 games (postseason included) over 3 seasons. His injury history held 12 episodes (ankle 4, hip 2, calf 1), 3 of them reaching OUT, 4 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was an ankle injury in 2025 week 15.
The full read
How our call moved this week
100500
99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%
Thu 7:01 AM ETSun 12:02 PM ET
our call, P(plays)
99% EXPECTED → 99% EXPECTED
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
In short
Josh Downs is a starter at wide receiver for IND — 89% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a not injury related - resting player injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 78 hours before kickoff.
The reader concurs · grade B
Downs' only adverse listing this week was Wednesday, explicitly a partial veteran rest day with a hamstring note (P6: "wide receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) was limited due to a partial rest day to help with any ailing injuries"), and the club's own Thursday report returns him to full (P5: "Wider receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) returned to full participation"; P4: "elevated to a full participant Thursday"). A beat outlet reading the same club report states the rest-day group "All look inline to play Sunday" (P3), and the club lists only Carlies and Dulin as non-practicing, not Downs (P5). Separately he is described as the offense's primary third-down weapon amid a depleted corps (P1, P2), which cuts against any voluntary sit; the only gap is that no Friday/Saturday report or final designation is in the dossier, so the call is supported but not settled. It would need to know: Friday 16 Oct Colts practice report entry for Josh Downs (full/limited/DNP); Final Saturday 17 Oct injury report designation for Downs (Questionable/none) ahead of the Oct 18 Titans game; Any Shane Steichen remark this week on Downs' hamstring or a Sunday snap-count limit; Confirmation of Alec Pierce's and Ashton Dulin's Week 6 status, which would raise Downs' required workload; Week 6 inactives list for IND vs TEN
What the read cites
What was reported
Source
1
“wide receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) was limited due to a partial rest day to help with any ailing injuries”
Stampede Blue · 2026-10-14
2
“Wider receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) returned to full participation”
Indianapolis Colts · 2026-10-15
3
“Wide receiver Josh Downs was elevated to a full participant Thursday after he was limited Wednesday with a hamstring injury”
IndyStar · 2026-10-15
4
“All look inline to play Sunday.”
Stampede Blue · 2026-10-15
5
“linebacker Jaylon Carlies (ribs) and wide receiver Ashton Dulin (hamstring) remained out of practice”
Indianapolis Colts · 2026-10-15
6
“Josh Downs is the best third-down weapon the Colts have right now.”
IndyStar · 2026-10-15
7
“Warren is second on the team in receiving yards behind Josh Downs' 249.”
IndyStar · 2026-10-16
14versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player
How the call moved
EXPECTED since Thu Oct 15 · 7:01 AM ET · 78 h before kickoff.
This week's call
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
99% · EXPECTED
we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
No dated practice report for him this week
The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.
Head start
Our call
Kickoff
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Rec yds / game48 range 16–77
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Targets / game7.0 range 4.0–11
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Target share20.6% range 14–31
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snap share81.3% range 68–89
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
89%wk 1
83%wk 2
68%wk 3
77%wk 4
85%wk 5
86%wk 6
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
1
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 6
Not injury related
1
—
2025 · wk 16
Not injury related
1
—
2025 · wk 15
ankle
1
—
2025 · wk 14
hip
1
—
2025 · wk 9
hip
1
—
2025 · wk 7
concussion
2
Out
2025 · wk 3
ankle
1
—
2024 · wk 18
ankle
1
—
2024 · wk 13
shoulder
2
Out
2024 · wk 12
calf
1
—
2024 · wk 8
groin
1
—
2024 · wk 6
toe
3
Questionable
2024 · wk 1
ankle
3
Out
2023 · wk 9
knee
2
Questionable
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 14 episodes · 21 weeks on a report · same site more than once: ankle ×4
Not injury related · 1wankle · 1whip · 1whip · 1wconcussion · 2wankle · 1w
2026
Not injury related · 1w
Weeks 1–18
ruled out
questionable
listed, and played
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Wk 6PLAY 99% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
Keenan Allen
WR
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
DeForest Buckner
DT
DNP
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Grover Stewart
DT
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Charvarius Ward
CB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Arden Key
DE
UNK
team's word
—
Ashton Dulin
WR
DNP
team's word
Out
D.J. Montgomery
WR
UNK
team's word
—
Darius Slayton
WR
FULL
team's word
—
Daniel Jones
QB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Sean McKeon
TE
UNK
ours
PLAY
71%
LIKELY
Jonathan Taylor
RB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Alec Pierce
WR
UNK
team's word
—
Micheal Clemons
DE
UNK
team's word
—
Will Mallory
TE
FULL
team's word
—
Cameron Mitchell
DB
UNK
team's word
—
Jaylon Carlies
LB
DNP
team's word
Out
Dalton Tucker
G
UNK
team's word
—
Matt Goncalves
G
LTD
ours
PLAY
96%
EXPECTED
Tyler Warren
TE
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Jalen Travis
T
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Riley Leonard
QB
UNK
team's word
—
Jaylahn Tuimoloau
DE
LTD
ours
PLAY
92%
EXPECTED
Carson Towt
TE
UNK
team's word
—
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
age 25.1 · 3 seasons' experience · drafted round 3
Where the profile comes from
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
a starter at wide receiver — 89% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chart
first at wide receiver
Snaps played
81% a week on average over 6 weeks, 89% at his highest, 2% on special teams
Build
5 ft 9 in · 171 lb
College
North Carolina
Drafted
2023, round 3 pick 79, by IND
Age
25-28 at the season's start
Experience
3 seasons
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
KickoffKickoff.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Thu Oct 15 · 7:01 AM ET
78 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Thu Oct 15 · 12:01 PM ET
73 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Thu Oct 15 · 5:01 PM ET
68 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET
54 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 12:01 PM ET
49 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 3:49 PM ET
45 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:02 PM ET
44 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET
44 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET
41 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET
30 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET
25 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET
20 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET
6 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET
1 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
14 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
His record this season
Wk
Practice
Chance he plays
Call
Source
Played
6
LTD
99%
PLAY
before his team said anything
yes
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.