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WR · Indianapolis Colts · week 6 vs Tennessee Titans · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

Josh Downs

  • TYPE Possession receiver
  • ROLE a starter
  • CLASS 2023 · R3 P79
  • EXP 3 seasons
  • AGE 25-28
  • DEPTH WR1
99%PLAY EXPECTED

As of week 6, Josh Downs was a WR for IND, age 25.1, 3 seasons of experience, drafted in round 3. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 1 on his club's depth chart; he had played 5 games on 80% of snaps; his line was 49.8 receiving yards a game, 6.8 targets a game and a 20.5% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 47 games (postseason included) over 3 seasons. His injury history held 12 episodes (ankle 4, hip 2, calf 1), 3 of them reaching OUT, 4 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was an ankle injury in 2025 week 15.

The full read

How our call moved this week

  • our call, P(plays)

99% EXPECTED → 99% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Josh Downs is a starter at wide receiver for IND — 89% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a not injury related - resting player injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 78 hours before kickoff.

The reader concurs · grade B

Downs' only adverse listing this week was Wednesday, explicitly a partial veteran rest day with a hamstring note (P6: "wide receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) was limited due to a partial rest day to help with any ailing injuries"), and the club's own Thursday report returns him to full (P5: "Wider receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) returned to full participation"; P4: "elevated to a full participant Thursday"). A beat outlet reading the same club report states the rest-day group "All look inline to play Sunday" (P3), and the club lists only Carlies and Dulin as non-practicing, not Downs (P5). Separately he is described as the offense's primary third-down weapon amid a depleted corps (P1, P2), which cuts against any voluntary sit; the only gap is that no Friday/Saturday report or final designation is in the dossier, so the call is supported but not settled. It would need to know: Friday 16 Oct Colts practice report entry for Josh Downs (full/limited/DNP); Final Saturday 17 Oct injury report designation for Downs (Questionable/none) ahead of the Oct 18 Titans game; Any Shane Steichen remark this week on Downs' hamstring or a Sunday snap-count limit; Confirmation of Alec Pierce's and Ashton Dulin's Week 6 status, which would raise Downs' required workload; Week 6 inactives list for IND vs TEN

What the read cites

What was reportedSource
1“wide receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) was limited due to a partial rest day to help with any ailing injuries”Stampede Blue · 2026-10-14
2“Wider receiver Josh Downs (rest, hamstring) returned to full participation”Indianapolis Colts · 2026-10-15
3“Wide receiver Josh Downs was elevated to a full participant Thursday after he was limited Wednesday with a hamstring injury”IndyStar · 2026-10-15
4“All look inline to play Sunday.”Stampede Blue · 2026-10-15
5“linebacker Jaylon Carlies (ribs) and wide receiver Ashton Dulin (hamstring) remained out of practice”Indianapolis Colts · 2026-10-15
6“Josh Downs is the best third-down weapon the Colts have right now.”IndyStar · 2026-10-15
7“Warren is second on the team in receiving yards behind Josh Downs' 249.”IndyStar · 2026-10-16
14versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Thu Oct 15 · 7:01 AM ET · 78 h before kickoff.

This week's call

NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED

99% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

No dated practice report for him this week

The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.

Head start

  • Our call
  • Kickoff

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

  • Rec yds / game48 range 16–77

    wk 1–6 · 6 games

  • Targets / game7.0 range 4.0–11

    wk 1–6 · 6 games

  • Target share20.6% range 14–31

    wk 1–6 · 6 games

  • Snap share81.3% range 68–89

    wk 1–6 · 6 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

  1. 89%wk 1
  2. 83%wk 2
  3. 68%wk 3
  4. 77%wk 4
  5. 85%wk 5
  6. 86%wk 6

Missed while on the injury report

SeasonWeeks on the reportMissed while listed
202610

Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.

Medical history

WhenInjuryWeeks on a reportWorst status
2026 · wk 6Not injury related1—
2025 · wk 16Not injury related1—
2025 · wk 15ankle1—
2025 · wk 14hip1—
2025 · wk 9hip1—
2025 · wk 7concussion2Out
2025 · wk 3ankle1—
2024 · wk 18ankle1—
2024 · wk 13shoulder2Out
2024 · wk 12calf1—
2024 · wk 8groin1—
2024 · wk 6toe3Questionable
2024 · wk 1ankle3Out
2023 · wk 9knee2Questionable

Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.

Injury history by season · 14 episodes · 21 weeks on a report · same site more than once: ankle ×4

  • ruled out
  • questionable
  • listed, and played

Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.

Our past calls vs what happened

Wk 6PLAY 99% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played

Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

PlayerPosPracticeWhose wordCallChance he playsBand
Keenan AllenWRFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
DeForest BucknerDTDNPoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Grover StewartDTFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Charvarius WardCBFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Arden KeyDEUNKteam's word—
Ashton DulinWRDNPteam's wordOut
D.J. MontgomeryWRUNKteam's word—
Darius SlaytonWRFULLteam's word—
Daniel JonesQBFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Sean McKeonTEUNKoursPLAY71%LIKELY
Jonathan TaylorRBFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Alec PierceWRUNKteam's word—
Micheal ClemonsDEUNKteam's word—
Will MalloryTEFULLteam's word—
Cameron MitchellDBUNKteam's word—
Jaylon CarliesLBDNPteam's wordOut
Dalton TuckerGUNKteam's word—
Matt GoncalvesGLTDoursPLAY96%EXPECTED
Tyler WarrenTELTDteam's wordQuestionable
Jalen TravisTFULLoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Riley LeonardQBUNKteam's word—
Jaylahn TuimoloauDELTDoursPLAY92%EXPECTED
Carson TowtTEUNKteam's word—

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.

The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show

Profile — as of week 6

RoleWR1 · 80% snaps
Season2026 · 5 games through wk 5
Per game49.8 receiving yards · 6.8 targets · 20.5% target share
TypeDeep threat
Career3 seasons · 47 games before 2026
Injuries12 episodes · last: ankle, 2025 wk 15
Bioage 25.1 · 3 seasons' experience · drafted round 3

Where the profile comes from

Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.

nflverse injuries_2026.csv

About him

About himAs the record holds it
His rolea starter at wide receiver — 89% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chartfirst at wide receiver
Snaps played81% a week on average over 6 weeks, 89% at his highest, 2% on special teams
Build5 ft 9 in · 171 lb
CollegeNorth Carolina
Drafted2023, round 3 pick 79, by IND
Age25-28 at the season's start
Experience3 seasons

When this call was made, and when the world knew

  1. WrittenWe first said PLAY.
  2. PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
  3. KickoffKickoff.

How our call moved, earliest first

WhenLeadCallChance he playsBandOn what
Thu Oct 15 · 7:01 AM ET78 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Thu Oct 15 · 12:01 PM ET73 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Thu Oct 15 · 5:01 PM ET68 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET54 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 12:01 PM ET49 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 3:49 PM ET45 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:02 PM ET44 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET44 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET41 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET30 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET25 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET20 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET6 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET1 hPLAY99%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything

14 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.

His record this season

WkPracticeChance he playsCallSourcePlayed
6LTD99%PLAYbefore his team said anythingyes

A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.