WR · Minnesota Vikings · week 7 vs Indianapolis Colts · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Jordan Addison

TYPE Deep threat
ROLE a starter
CLASS 2023 · R1 P23
EXP 3 seasons
AGE under 25
DEPTH WR2

90%PLAY EXPECTED

As of week 7, Jordan Addison was a WR for MIN, age 24.6, 3 seasons of experience, drafted in round 1. In 2026 through week 6 he was listed at depth rank 2 on his club's depth chart; he had played 4 games on 91% of snaps; his line was 40.8 receiving yards a game, 5.5 targets a game and a 22% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 47 games (postseason included) over 3 seasons. His injury history held 4 episodes (ankle 3, achilles 1), 1 of them reaching OUT, 2 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was an achilles injury in 2025 week 15.

The full read

How our call moved in week 7

100500

56%56%56%55%55%55%55%55%55%55%55%55%90%90%90%90%90%90%90%90%90%90%90%

Sun 7:41 AM ETSun 12:05 PM ET

our call, P(plays)

56% COIN FLIP → 90% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him in week 7, earliest first, as written.

In short

Jordan Addison is a starter at wide receiver for MIN — 98% of the snaps in his best week of 5. He has a hamstring injury. His team named him inactive in week 5. In week 7 he practised in full every day the report covers. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 90%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 173 hours before kickoff.

23versions in week 7

9average, every player

29most for one player

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Wed Oct 21 · 6:10 PM ET · 91 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 55% → 90%, Wed Oct 21 · 5:05 PM ET to Wed Oct 21 · 6:10 PM ET, with no club report in between.

Our call · week 7

NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED

90% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

Practice in week 7

Fri	Thu	Wed
FPdated Fri Oct 23	FPdated Fri Oct 23	FPdated Fri Oct 23

Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

Our call Sun Oct 18 · 7:41 AM ET
Kickoff Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

Rec yds / game37 range 0.0–90
wk 1–7 · 5 games
Targets / game5.0 range 2.0–9.0
wk 1–7 · 5 games
Target share20.2% range 9–36
wk 1–7 · 5 games
Snap share89.6% range 83–98
wk 1–7 · 5 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

83%wk 1
88%wk 2
98%wk 3
96%wk 4
83%wk 7

Missed while on the injury report

Season	Weeks on the report	Missed while listed
2026	2	1

Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.

Medical history

When	Injury	Weeks on a report	Worst status
2026 · wk 5	hamstring	2	Questionable
2025 · wk 15	achilles	1	—
2024 · wk 1	ankle	4	Out
2023 · wk 17	ankle	1	Questionable
2023 · wk 6	ankle	1	—

Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.

Injury history by season · 5 episodes · 9 weeks on a report · same site more than once: ankle ×3

2023

ankle · 1wankle · 1w

2024

ankle · 4w

2025

achilles · 1w

2026

hamstring · 2w

Weeks 1–18

ruled out
questionable
listed, and played

Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.

Our past calls vs what happened

Wk 5SIT 51% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; did not play

Wk 7PLAY 56% ✓ rightafter his team's announcement; played

Season on him: 2 of 2 graded calls of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report in week 7

Player	Pos	Practice	Whose word	Call	Chance he plays	Band
Harrison Smith	S	LTD	ours	PLAY	98%	EXPECTED
Jamal Adams	LB	UNK	team's word	—
Brian O'Neill	T	FULL	ours	PLAY	96%	EXPECTED
T.J. Hockenson	TE	FULL	ours	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED
Josh Oliver	TE	UNK	team's word	—
James Pierre	CB	FULL	ours	PLAY	98%	EXPECTED
Justin Jefferson	WR	FULL	ours	PLAY	99%	EXPECTED
Christian Darrisaw	T	DNP	ours	PLAY	53%	COIN FLIP
Jordan Mason	RB	FULL	team's word	Questionable
Nick Samac	C	UNK	team's word	—
Tyler Batty	LB	UNK	team's word	—
Max Brosmer	QB	UNK	team's word	—
Elijah Williams	DE	UNK	team's word	—
Donovan Jackson	G	UNK	team's word	—
Caleb Tiernan	OT	UNK	team's word	—
Jakobe Thomas	SAF	UNK	team's word	—
Charles Demmings	CB	FULL	team's word	—
Demond Claiborne	RB	UNK	team's word	—

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.

The evidence behind his earlier calls