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WR · Washington Commanders · week 6 vs San Francisco 49ers · Mon Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

Treylon Burks

  • TYPE Deep threat
  • ROLE a starter
  • CLASS 2022 · R1 P18
  • EXP 4 seasons
  • AGE 25-28
  • DEPTH WR3
94%PLAY EXPECTED

As of week 6, Treylon Burks was a WR for WAS, age 26.4, 4 seasons of experience, drafted in round 1. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 2 on his club's depth chart; he had played 4 games on 50% of snaps; his line was 21.5 receiving yards a game, 2.8 targets a game and a 8.9% target share (Deep threat by the published rule). Before 2026 he played 35 games (postseason included) over 4 seasons. His injury history held 12 episodes (illness 4, concussion 2, knee 2), 6 of them reaching OUT, 5 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was an illness injury in 2025 week 18.

The full read

How our call moved this week

  • our call, P(plays)

90% EXPECTED → 94% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Treylon Burks is a starter at wide receiver for WAS — 73% of the snaps in his best week of 5. He has a shoulder injury. His team named him inactive in week 1. This week he practised limited. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 94%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 85 hours before kickoff.

15versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET · 51 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 90% → 68%, Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET to Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET, with no club report in between.

This week's call

NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED

94% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

Practice this week

Thu
LPdated Thu Oct 15

Shape of the week: single reading. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

  • Our call
  • Kickoff

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

  • Rec yds / game30 range 0.0–66

    wk 2–6 · 5 games

  • Targets / game3.4 range 1.0–6.0

    wk 2–6 · 5 games

  • Target share10.8% range 3–22

    wk 2–6 · 5 games

  • Snap share50.6% range 30–73

    wk 2–6 · 5 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

  1. 30%wk 2
  2. 36%wk 3
  3. 59%wk 4
  4. 73%wk 5
  5. 55%wk 6

Missed while on the injury report

SeasonWeeks on the reportMissed while listed
202620

Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.

Medical history

WhenInjuryWeeks on a reportWorst status
2026 · wk 5shoulder2—
2025 · wk 18illness1—
2025 · wk 11hand2Out
2024 · wk 7knee1Out
2024 · wk 6Not injury related1—
2023 · wk 16illness1—
2023 · wk 10concussion4Out
2023 · wk 2Not injury related1—
2023 · wk 1knee5Out
2022 · wk 18groin1Questionable
2022 · wk 14concussion3Out
2022 · wk 13illness1—
2022 · wk 5toe1Out
2022 · wk 4illness1—
2022 · wk 3ankle1—

Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.

Injury history by season · 15 episodes · 26 weeks on a report · same site more than once: illness ×4

  • ruled out
  • questionable
  • listed, and played

Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.

Our past calls vs what happened

Wk 5PLAY 92% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played
Wk 6PLAY 90% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played

Season on him: 2 of 2 graded calls of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

PlayerPosPracticeWhose wordCallChance he playsBand
Stefon DiggsWRLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Marcus MariotaQBDNPteam's wordOut
Laremy TunsilOTUNKteam's word—
Lucas PatrickGFULLteam's wordQuestionable
Austin EkelerRBLTDoursPLAY90%EXPECTED
Fabian MoreauCBLTDteam's word—
Jeremy McNicholsRBFULLteam's wordQuestionable
Jeremy ReavesSLTDoursPLAY90%EXPECTED
Isaac YiadomCBUNKteam's word—
Charles OmenihuDEDNPteam's wordOut
Terry McLaurinWRLTDoursPLAY92%EXPECTED
Javon KinlawDTLTDteam's wordQuestionable
K'Lavon ChaissonLBFULLoursPLAY97%EXPECTED
Rachaad WhiteRBLTDoursPLAY99%EXPECTED
Nick CrossSFULLteam's wordQuestionable
Leo ChenalLBUNKteam's word—
Percy ButlerSLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Quan MartinSFULLoursPLAY89%EXPECTED
Jordan MageeLBLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Javontae Jean-BaptisteLBDNPteam's wordOut
Tyler OwensSLTDteam's wordQuestionable
Jer'Zhan NewtonDTUNKteam's word—
Jayden DanielsQBFULLoursPLAY95%EXPECTED
T.J. MaguranyangaLBUNKteam's word—
Jaylin LaneWRUNKteam's word—
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBDNPteam's wordOut
Trey AmosCBFULLteam's wordQuestionable
Tanoa TogiaiGUNKteam's word—

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.

The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show

Profile — as of week 6

RoleWR2 · 50% snaps
Season2026 · 4 games through wk 5
Per game21.5 receiving yards · 2.8 targets · 8.9% target share
TypeDeep threat
Career4 seasons · 35 games before 2026
Injuries12 episodes · last: illness, 2025 wk 18
Bioage 26.4 · 4 seasons' experience · drafted round 1

Where the profile comes from

Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.

nflverse injuries_2026.csv

About him

About himAs the record holds it
His rolea starter at wide receiver — 73% of the snaps in his best week of 5
Listed on the depth chartthird at wide receiver
Snaps played51% a week on average over 5 weeks, 73% at his highest, 12% on special teams
Build6 ft 2 in · 225 lb
CollegeArkansas
Drafted2022, round 1 pick 18, by TEN
Age25-28 at the season's start
Experience4 seasons

When this call was made, and when the world knew

  1. WrittenWe first said PLAY.
  2. PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
  3. KickoffKickoff.

How our call moved, earliest first

WhenLeadCallChance he playsBandOn what
Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET85 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 12:01 PM ET80 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 3:49 PM ET76 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:02 PM ET75 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET75 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET72 hPLAY68%LIKELYafter his team's announcement
Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET61 hPLAY68%LIKELYafter his team's announcement
Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET56 hPLAY68%LIKELYafter his team's announcement
Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET51 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET37 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET32 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 5:05 PM ET27 hPLAY90%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Oct 19 · 7:01 AM ET13 hPLAY94%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Oct 19 · 12:02 PM ET8 hPLAY94%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything
Mon Oct 19 · 5:01 PM ET3 hPLAY94%EXPECTEDbefore his team said anything

15 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.

His record this season

WkPracticeChance he playsCallSourcePlayed
5FULL92%PLAYbefore his team said anythingyes
6LTD90%PLAYbefore his team said anythingyes

A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.

Named inactive in week 1

The team's own list. We held it after kickoff, so it could NOT have informed a call. Matched to him by his player id.

What this page does not show

the reader's opinion — it has not read him this week.