Chris Olave

How our call moved this week

• our call, P(plays)
• club report (public)

91% EXPECTED → 81% LIKELY

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Chris Olave is a starter at wide receiver for NO — 91% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has an illness injury. This week he did not practise, then practised limited. His team has listed him Questionable.

The reader concurs · grade C

P1 restates rather than contradicts the model's practice inputs: Olave missed Wednesday and Thursday with an illness and the club said designations for Sunday's game at the Giants would be issued Friday, so no game-status ruling exists against him in the prose (P1). The illness is current, not historical, but P1 also shows it is one of several illnesses circulating the building (Shepherd, Broughton) rather than a structural injury, and the club's own week shape shows him returning to limited work Friday. P2 is only a matchup preview, but it treats Olave as the established volume leader ('His favorite target is Chris Olave, who has caught 39 passes for 537 yards'), which is consistent with a starter the club would play if the illness clears (P2). It would need to know: Saints' final Week 6 game-status report filed Friday 16 Oct — the actual designation for Olave (Out/Doubtful/Questionable); Any Saturday 17 Oct status update, illness setback, or downgrade report on Olave; Kellen Moore or beat-reporter comment on the severity/duration of Olave's illness and whether he is expected to play Sunday at MetLife; Whether Olave traveled with the team to New Jersey; Sunday 18 Oct inactive list for Saints at Giants

What the read cites

How the call moved

LIKELY since Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET · 41 h before kickoff · 6 h before the club. Biggest move: 95% → 74%, Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET to Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET, with no club report in between.

His team's word: Questionable

This is the TEAM'S OWN ANNOUNCEMENT, not a reading of ours. His team filed him on the injury report and we are restating it so the record is complete. There is nothing early about repeating an announcement — what we say ahead of one is on the week's page. Source: his team's published inactive list, on the day.

Practice this week

Shape of the week: improving. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

• His club's word Sat Oct 17 · 2:02 AM ET
• Kickoff Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Rec yds / game97 range 43–182

  wk 1–6 · 6 games · above most of his peers

• Targets / game10 range 6.0–13

  wk 1–6 · 6 games · above most of his peers

• Target share27.1% range 23–33

  wk 1–6 · 6 games · above most of his peers

• Snap share81.5% range 58–91

  wk 1–6 · 6 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 86%wk 1
2. 84%wk 2
3. 84%wk 3
4. 86%wk 4
5. 91%wk 5
6. 58%wk 6

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 2 of 2 graded calls of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.