Dee Alford

How our call moved this week

• our call, P(plays)
• club report (public)

86% EXPECTED → 53% COIN FLIP

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Dee Alford is a starter at nickelback for BUF — 65% of the snaps in his best week of 5. He has an ankle injury. His team named him inactive in week 5. This week he practised limited every day the report covers. His team has listed him Questionable. We called him PLAY in week 5 and he did not play.

The reader dissents · grade B · superseded

The only 'will not play' line is from the Monday 12 Oct inactives, which is last week's game and therefore history, not status for 18 Oct (P1). This week's club report has him limited on consecutive days while actively working back, with local coverage saying 'it's likely he's trending toward playing' (P5) and, after the padded Thursday session, 'I would expect Alford to play Sunday' (P4). The Friday official designation confirms Questionable rather than doubtful/out (P2), which combined with two limited practices and no reported setback points to PLAY rather than the model's SIT. It would need to know: Saturday 17 Oct / game-day Sun 18 Oct inactive list for BUF; Any coach remark on a snap-count or nickel-package limit for Alford; Whether Jalon Kilgore/Damar Hamlin are still being prepped as the nickel this week — Our call has since changed from SIT to PLAY. This reading was written against the earlier one and is kept as it was; it is not an argument about the call shown above.

What the read cites

How the call moved

COIN FLIP since Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET · 45 h before kickoff · 6 h before the club. Biggest move: 86% → 53%, Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET to Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET, with no club report in between.

His team's word: Questionable

This is the TEAM'S OWN ANNOUNCEMENT, not a reading of ours. His team filed him on the injury report and we are restating it so the record is complete. There is nothing early about repeating an announcement — what we say ahead of one is on the week's page. Source: his team's published inactive list, on the day.

Practice this week

Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

• His club's word Sat Oct 17 · 2:02 AM ET
• Kickoff Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Tackles / game3.0 range 2.0–5.0

  wk 1–6 · 5 games

• Sacks / game0.0 range 0.0–0.0

  wk 1–6 · 5 games

• Passes defended / game0.6 range 0.0–1.0

  wk 1–6 · 5 games

• Snap share53.6% range 32–65

  wk 1–6 · 5 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 61%wk 1
2. 58%wk 2
3. 52%wk 3
4. 32%wk 4
5. 65%wk 6

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 1 of 2 graded calls of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.