T · Buffalo Bills · week 6 vs Las Vegas Raiders · Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
Spencer Brown
ROLE a starter
CLASS 2021 · R3 P93
EXP 5 seasons
AGE 25-28
DEPTH RT1
99%PLAYEXPECTED
As of week 6, Spencer Brown was an OT for BUF, age 28.5, 5 seasons of experience, drafted in round 3. In 2026 through week 5 he was listed at depth rank 1 on his club's depth chart; he had played 5 games on 85% of snaps. Before 2026 he played 84 games (postseason included) over 5 seasons. His injury history held 10 episodes (ankle 2, knee 2, shoulder 2), 3 of them reaching OUT, 3 a repeat of an earlier site; the last was a shoulder injury in 2025 week 15.
The full read
How our call moved this week
100500
99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%99%
Fri 7:01 AM ETSun 12:29 PM ET
our call, P(plays)
99% EXPECTED → 99% EXPECTED
Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.
In short
Spencer Brown is a starter at right tackle for BUF — 100% of the snaps in his best week of 6. He has a back injury. He left last week's game. Of players in that position who did play the following week, 45% took under 70% of their usual snaps. This week he practised in full every day the report covers. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 99%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 57 hours before kickoff.
The reader concurs · grade B
The back injury is real and recent — Brown was downgraded to OUT in the fourth quarter of the Monday 12 Oct game and replaced by Tylan Grable (P5) — but that is a previous game and is history for this Sunday. Inside this practice week the trend is clearly upward: limited at Wednesday's walkthrough (P2), physically present at the Oct 15 practice (P3), then listed FULL at Thursday's first full practice, framed as "good news for Spencer Brown" (P1). Brown is also speaking publicly about the trip and about getting "these two games" in before the bye (P4), which reads as a player expecting to play; nothing written contradicts the PLAY call, though no Friday report or final designation is in hand, which keeps this at B rather than A. It would need to know: Friday 16 Oct Bills practice report line for Spencer Brown (FULL/LTD/DNP); Final Week 6 injury report game-status designation for Brown (Q/D/none) for the Sun 18 Oct Raiders game; Any Saturday or gameday report of a back setback, or Brown appearing on the inactive list; Whether Tylan Grable or Alec Anderson is taking first-team right tackle reps this week
What the read cites
What was reported
Source
1
“Bills injury report: DJ Moore DNP, Spencer Brown listed as Full Thursday”
Buffalo Rumblings · 2026-10-16
2
“The Buffalo Bills' first full practice of Week 6 brought good news for Spencer Brown”
“Spencer Brown (79). Buffalo Bills Week 6 Practice, October 15, 2026 at Crawford Field.”
Buffalo Bills · 2026-10-16
5
“"The change of scenery is great," T Spencer Brown said.”
Buffalo Bills · 2026-10-16
6
“UPDATE: Brown was downgrded to out early in the fourth quarter.”
Buffalo Rumblings · 2026-10-13
12versions this week
9average, every player
29most for one player
How the call moved
EXPECTED since Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET · 57 h before kickoff.
This week's call
NOT EXPECTEDUNLIKELYCOIN FLIPLIKELYEXPECTED
99% · EXPECTED
we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.
Practice this week
Fri
Thu
FPdated Fri Oct 16
FPdated Fri Oct 16
Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.
Head start
Our call
Kickoff
Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range
Snap share87.5% range 25–100
wk 1–6 · 6 games
Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share
100%wk 1
100%wk 2
100%wk 3
100%wk 4
25%wk 5
100%wk 6
Missed while on the injury report
Season
Weeks on the report
Missed while listed
2026
1
0
Only the weeks he was on the injury report with a recorded result — not every game of his career.
Medical history
When
Injury
Weeks on a report
Worst status
2026 · wk 6
back
1
—
2025 · wk 13
shoulder
3
Out
2025 · wk 4
calf
2
Questionable
2024 · wk 16
neck
3
—
2024 · wk 11
ankle
3
Questionable
2024 · wk 9
wrist
2
—
2023 · wk 7
knee
2
—
2023 · wk 3
shoulder
1
—
2022 · wk 8
ankle
3
Out
2021 · wk 8
back
3
Out
2021 · wk 5
knee
1
—
Every injury episode on file for him, as the record holds it.
Injury history by season · 11 episodes · 24 weeks on a report · same site more than once: back ×2
2021
back · 3wknee · 1w
2022
ankle · 3w
2023
knee · 2wshoulder · 1w
2024
neck · 3wankle · 3wwrist · 2w
2025
shoulder · 3wcalf · 2w
2026
back · 1w
Weeks 1–18
ruled out
questionable
listed, and played
Each bar is one episode: the week it began and how many weeks he was on a report, coloured by the worst status.
Our past calls vs what happened
Wk 6PLAY 99% ✓ rightbefore his team said anything; played
Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.
The rest of his team's report this week
Player
Pos
Practice
Whose word
Call
Chance he plays
Band
DJ Moore
WR
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Bradley Chubb
LB
FULL
ours
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
Ed Oliver
DE
LTD
team's word
Questionable
C.J. Gardner-Johnson
S
FULL
ours
PLAY
97%
EXPECTED
Ty Johnson
RB
FULL
ours
PLAY
97%
EXPECTED
Michael Danna
LB
UNK
team's word
—
Josh Palmer
WR
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Dee Alford
CB
LTD
team's word
Questionable
Terrel Bernard
LB
LTD
ours
PLAY
96%
EXPECTED
Christian Benford
CB
FULL
ours
PLAY
97%
EXPECTED
Tyrell Shavers
WR
UNK
team's word
—
Te'Cory Couch
DB
UNK
ours
PLAY
56%
COIN FLIP
Keon Coleman
WR
FULL
ours
PLAY
91%
EXPECTED
Landon Jackson
DE
FULL
ours
PLAY
88%
EXPECTED
Jordan Hancock
CB
UNK
team's word
—
Dorian Strong
CB
UNK
team's word
—
T.J. Sanders
DE
FULL
team's word
Questionable
TJ Parker
LB
FULL
ours
PLAY
82%
LIKELY
Zane Durant
DT
UNK
team's word
—
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
G
FULL
team's word
—
Jude Bowry
OT
UNK
team's word
—
The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.
The data behind this page — the timeline in words, every call and week on record, about him, and what this page does not show
Profile — as of week 6
Role
OT1 · 85% snaps
Season
2026 · 5 games through wk 5
Career
5 seasons · 84 games before 2026
Injuries
10 episodes · last: shoulder, 2025 wk 15
Bio
age 28.5 · 5 seasons' experience · drafted round 3
Where the profile comes from
Built from: honors.db; nflverse injuries_2026.csv; medical.db; nflverse players.csv; profile.db; nflverse roster_2026.csv; nflverse roster_weekly_2026.csv; nflverse snap_counts_2026.csv; nflverse stats_player_week_2026.csv. Every number in it is one those sources hold.
a starter at right tackle — 100% of the snaps in his best week of 6
Listed on the depth chart
first at right tackle
Last week
He left last week's game — far below his usual share
Snaps played
88% a week on average over 6 weeks, 100% at his highest, 13% on special teams
Build
6 ft 8 in · 311 lb
College
Northern Iowa
Drafted
2021, round 3 pick 93, by BUF
Age
25-28 at the season's start
Experience
5 seasons
When this call was made, and when the world knew
WrittenWe first said PLAY.
PublicOur call became public, at kickoff.
KickoffKickoff.
How our call moved, earliest first
When
Lead
Call
Chance he plays
Band
On what
Fri Oct 16 · 7:01 AM ET
57 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 12:01 PM ET
52 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 3:49 PM ET
49 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:02 PM ET
47 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 5:21 PM ET
47 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Fri Oct 16 · 7:56 PM ET
45 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 7:02 AM ET
33 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 12:02 PM ET
28 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sat Oct 17 · 5:01 PM ET
23 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 7:01 AM ET
9 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 12:02 PM ET
4 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
Sun Oct 18 · 12:29 PM ET
4 h
PLAY
99%
EXPECTED
before his team said anything
12 calls this week, and the call never flipped between PLAY and SIT. Each lead time is the one that call actually had when it was written — never recounted from now. A call that changes is the record working: new evidence arrived and we said so, in public, before the game.
His record this season
Wk
Practice
Chance he plays
Call
Source
Played
6
LTD
99%
PLAY
before his team said anything
yes
A blank in Played is a week not yet settled — never a no.