Rhamondre Stevenson

How our call moved this week

• our call, P(plays)
• club report (public)

99% EXPECTED → 91% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him this week, earliest first, as written.

In short

Rhamondre Stevenson is a starter at running back for NE — 85% of the snaps in his best week of 7. He has a knee injury. This week he practised limited every day the report covers. His team has listed him Questionable.

The reader concurs · grade C

P1 establishes that the knee issue is CURRENT, not historical — Stevenson was hurt late in last Sunday's game at Buffalo and Vrabel said pre-practice that he was 'expected to sit out the team's first on-field work of Week 5' (P1), which the club's own report then recorded as Limited rather than DNP, a slightly better outcome than Vrabel signalled. The contingency move — working out Jamaal Williams on Tuesday in a move 'likely related to the uncertainty about Stevenson's availability' (P1) — is a genuine caution flag the model's cell-rate does not see, and it is the strongest written argument for a number below 0.906. But nothing in P1 is a ruling-out, no designation has issued, and a Wednesday limited practice on a starter is ordinary; the PLAY call stands even if the probability belongs lower. It would need to know: Thursday (08 Oct) and Friday (09 Oct) Patriots practice participation for Stevenson — DNP, LTD or FULL; The Friday game-status designation (Out / Doubtful / Questionable / none) on the final Week 5 injury report; Vrabel's Thursday or Friday remarks specifically on Stevenson's knee and whether he is trending toward playing Sunday; Whether Jamaal Williams was actually signed to the active roster or practice squad after the Tuesday workout; Status of backup RBs (e.g., whether NE would be thin at the position) for the 11 Oct game

What the read cites

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Thu Oct 8 · 7:01 AM ET · 78 h before kickoff · 43 h before the club. Biggest move: 99% → 91%, Fri Oct 9 · 5:01 PM ET to Sat Oct 10 · 7:01 AM ET, after: given a designation (Questionable).

His team's word: Questionable

This is the TEAM'S OWN ANNOUNCEMENT, not a reading of ours. His team filed him on the injury report and we are restating it so the record is complete. There is nothing early about repeating an announcement — what we say ahead of one is on the week's page. Source: his team's published inactive list, on the day.

Practice this week

Shape of the week: steady. Only days the publisher dated are shown; a day we could not date is left out until the nightly sweep stamps it. The shape is a fact, not a forecast.

Head start

• His club's word Sat Oct 10 · 2:23 AM ET
• Kickoff Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Rush yds / game41 range 22–64

  wk 1–7 · 7 games

• Carries / game11 range 6.0–18

  wk 1–7 · 7 games

• Rec yds / game29 range 0.0–93

  wk 1–7 · 7 games · above most of his peers

• Snap share62.7% range 36–85

  wk 1–7 · 7 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 85%wk 1
2. 36%wk 2
3. 52%wk 3
4. 66%wk 4
5. 71%wk 5
6. 60%wk 6
7. 69%wk 7

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report this week

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.