Ashtyn Davis

How our call moved in week 7

• our call, P(plays)

67% LIKELY → 89% EXPECTED

Every call we wrote for him in week 7, earliest first, as written.

In short

Ashtyn Davis is in the rotation at nickelback for SF — 21% of the snaps in his best week of 7. He has a hamstring injury. His team has not listed him on the final report. We say he plays — 89%, in a band that plays 96% of the time. We have said PLAY since 89 hours before kickoff.

The reader concurs · grade C

The club's own reporting has Davis practicing, albeit limited, with the hamstring on Thursday 22 Oct - "Safey Ashtyn Davis (hamstring) and linebacker Jaden Dugger (knee) remained limited" (P1), listed again among "limited participants" (P3) - so he is working, not sidelined, and nothing written attaches a game-status designation or rules him out. The team's Friday 23 Oct gallery of "49ers Prep for Road Matchup Against Falcons" again pictures "S Ashtyn Davis" at practice (P2), consistent with continued participation. Two safeties above him, Siran Neal (knee) and Marques Sigle (ankle), "continued to rehab during practice" rather than participating (P1), which if it holds would push a third-stringer onto the gameday roster; nothing contradicts the PLAY call, though the dossier's FULL practice line is not corroborated by the prose, which says limited. It would need to know: Friday 23 Oct final 49ers injury report: Davis's game-status designation (Out/Doubtful/Questionable/none) for the 25 Oct game at Atlanta; Whether Davis was listed full, limited, or DNP on Friday 23 Oct; A Shanahan or Morris remark from 19-24 Oct naming Davis's hamstring and his availability for Sunday; Game-status for safeties Malik Mustapha, Marques Sigle (ankle) and Siran Neal (knee) - whether either rehabbing safety is ruled out, which would force Davis to dress; The Sunday 25 Oct inactives list for San Francisco at Atlanta

What the read cites

How the call moved

EXPECTED since Sat Oct 24 · 2:10 AM ET · 35 h before kickoff. Biggest move: 58% → 82%, Thu Oct 22 · 5:05 PM ET to Sat Oct 24 · 12:11 AM ET, with no club report in between.

Our call · week 7

89% · EXPECTED

we expect him to play — this band plays 96% of the time (96–97%), measured out of fold. We stand behind this one.

No dated practice report for him in week 7

The team has not published one we can date, or the window has not reached it. Not the same as his having practiced.

Head start

• Our call Wed Oct 21 · 8:20 PM ET
• Kickoff Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Stats, with ranges — dot = his average, bar = his game range

• Snap share4.4% range 0–21

  wk 1–7 · 7 games

Snaps by week — his larger of the offence and defence share

1. 0%wk 1
2. 0%wk 2
3. 0%wk 3
4. 0%wk 4
5. 0%wk 5
6. 21%wk 6
7. 10%wk 7

Our past calls vs what happened

Season on him: 1 of 1 graded call of ours right. Graded by the record: right or a miss against whether he played. A week we did not call, or his club's own word, is not graded.

The rest of his team's report in week 7

The model reads the room: who else is out shifts what his own designation is worth.